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06-05-2019Economic Development Board City of Edgewater Meeting Agenda 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 Council Chambers8:00 AMWednesday, June 5, 2019 We respectfully request that all electronic devices are set for no audible notification. 1. CALL TO ORDER 2. ROLL CALL 3. APPROVAL OF MINUTES Minutes from the April 3, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting EDB Meeting Minutes 04-03-2019Attachments: Minutes from the May 1, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting EDB Meeting Minutes 05-01-2019Attachments: 4. PUBLIC COMMENTS - None at this time 5. REPORTS a. Economic Development Director's Report b. Space Commerce Supply Chain - Bryce Report Bryce Report 3-27-2019Attachments: c. Southeast Volusia Chamber of Commerce Report 6. OTHER BUSINESS Economic Development Advisory Board Budgeta. Economic Development Proposed FY 2019-2020 Budget Draft Economic Development Approved FY 2018-2019 Budget Attachments: Southeast Volusia Marketing Initiative Promotional Opportunitiesb. Page 1 City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021 1 June 5, 2019Economic Development Board Meeting Agenda 2019 Scholarship Committee Selectionsc. 2019 Scholarship Selections.pdfAttachments: 7. NEW BUSINESS Donna Snow Resignationa. Donna Snow EDB Resignation LetterAttachments: Election of Economic Development Board Chairb. Election of Economic Development Board Vice Chairc. 8. BOARD REPORTS - None at this time 9. ADJOURN Pursuant to Chapter 286, F.S., if an individual decides to appeal any decision made with respect to any matter considered at a meeting or hearing, that individual will need a record of the proceedings and will need to ensure that a verbatim record of the proceedings is made. The City does not prepare or provide such record. In accordance with the Americans with Disabilities Act, persons needing assistance to participate in any of these proceedings should contact City Clerk/Paralegal Robin L. Matusick, 104 N. Riverside Drive, Edgewater, Florida, telephone number 386-424-2400 x 1101, 5 days prior to the meeting date. If you are hearing or voice impaired, contact the relay operator at 1-800-955-8771 One or more members of City Council or other advisory boards may be present. Page 2 City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021 2 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4152,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : Minutes from the April 3, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation SUMMARY: RECOMMENDED ACTION: City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™3 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132City of Edgewater Meeting Minutes Economic Development Board 8:00 AM City Hall Conference RoomWednesday, April 3, 2019 1. CALL TO ORDER Bliss Jamison, Chair of the Economic Development Board, called the meeting to order at 8:00 a.m. 2. ROLL CALL Bliss Jamison, Marcia Barnett, Donna Snow, Cecil Selman, Todd Perry and Debbie DolbowPresent6 - Clarence McCloud and Dan KlaselExcused2 - Samantha BergeronAlso Present 1 - 3. APPROVAL OF MINUTES Minutes from the March 6, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting EDB Meeting MINUTES 03-06-2019Attachments: A motion was made by Donna Snow, second by Marcia Barnett, to approve minutes from the March 6, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting. The MOTION was APPROVED unanimously. Yes:Bliss Jamison, Marcia Barnett, Donna Snow, Cecil Selman, Todd Perry, and Debbie Dolbow6 - Excused:Clarence McCloud, and Dan Klasel2 - 4. REPORTS a. Economic Development Coordinator Half Cent Sales Tax Samantha Bergeron reported on the proposed half cent sales tax. Funds from the sales tax must be utilized for new or existing roads, sidewalks, bridges, water quality, stormwater, flood control and amenities that are ancillary to those facilities. It is projected that Edgewater will collect around $1.2 million per year. Half of funds collected from this tax will go to the County, to be allocated to Cities, and the other half will go directly to Cities. Funds collected in Edgewater will stay in Edgewater for cleaner water and better roads. This tax will not apply to food, medication or mortgage payments and the tax burden will be shared with visitors. Since only the first $5,000 of a purchase is taxed, there is a $25 cap. Page 1City of Edgewater Printed on 4/26/2019 4 April 3, 2019Economic Development Board Meeting Minutes Ms. Bergeron mentioned that the City cannot promote the tax, only provide information about the tax to the public. Half Cent Sales Tax PresentationAttachments: CEDS Goals Update Goals and objectives from the Comprehensive Economic Development Strategic Plan - Goal 2.5 - were reviewed and updated. Samantha Bergeron noted that the City's GIS Department has mapped out all the City's projects and they can be found on the website under latest news. Bliss Jamison mentioned that we need to be vigilant in getting Edgewater's projects on Volusia County's priority list. Subcommittees Update The Local School Scholarship subcommittee will meet April 4, 2019 to review scholarship applications and make selections for 2019. The fund currently has $10,000 available. Ms. Bergeron shared with the Board that BJs Flowers will be recognized at the next City Council meeting for their donation to the fund from their proceeds at the annual Princess Ball. Once the new park is open, the Ecotourism subcommittee will be meeting to work on a paddling trails application for next March. Whistle Stop Park Update Ms. Bergeron shared the status of Whistle Stop Park and notified the Board that the Grand Opening Ribbon Cutting will begin at 9:00 a.m. on Saturday, May 4, 2019. b. Southeast Volusia Chamber of Commerce - None at this time. 5. NEW BUSINESS Ms. Bergeron let the board know that the "State of the City" presentation that the Mayor shared last week at the Chamber luncheon, will be available on the City's website. 6. OTHER BUSINESS - None at this time. 7. PUBLIC COMMENTS - None at this time. 8. BOARD REPORTS - None at this time. 9. ADJOURN There being no further business, the meeting adjourned at 8:57 a.m. Page 2City of Edgewater Printed on 4/26/2019 5 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4182,Version:1 City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™6 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132City of Edgewater Meeting Minutes Economic Development Board 8:00 AM Council ChambersWednesday, May 1, 2019 1. CALL TO ORDER 2. ROLL CALL Bliss Jamison, Donna Snow, Clarence McCloud and Todd PerryPresent4 - Marcia Barnett and Cecil SelmanExcused2 - Debbie Dolbow and Dan KlaselAbsent2 - Samantha BergeronAlso Present 1 - Meeting cancelled for lack of quorum. All items from this agenda will be discussed at the June 5, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting. 3. APPROVAL OF MINUTES AR-2019-4152 Minutes from the April 3, 2019 Economic Development Board Meeting EDB Meeting Minutes 04-03-2019Attachments: 4. PUBLIC COMMENTS 5. REPORTS a. Economic Development Director's Report b. Space Commerce Supply Chain - Bryce Report AR-2019-4145 Bryce Report 3-27-2019Attachments: c. Southeast Volusia Chamber of Commerce Report 6. NEW BUSINESS a.AR-2019-4144 Donna Snow Resignation Donna Snow EDB Resignation Letter Bruce Meyers Board Application Attachments: Page 1City of Edgewater Printed on 5/21/2019 7 May 1, 2019Economic Development Board Meeting Minutes b.AR-2019-4143 2019 Scholarship Committee Selections 2019 Scholarship Selections.pdfAttachments: c.AR-2019-4142 Economic Development Advisory Board Budget Economic Development Proposed FY 2019-2020 Budget Draft Economic Development Approved FY 2018-2019 Budget Attachments: 7. OTHER BUSINESS 8. BOARD REPORTS 9. ADJOURN Page 2City of Edgewater Printed on 5/21/2019 8 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4145,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : Space Commerce Supply Chain - Bryce Report DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation Department SUMMARY: Report on an aviation supply chain meeting. RECOMMENDED ACTION: City of Edgewater Printed on 4/26/2019Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™9 10 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 1 Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................... 2 Commercial Space Industry Supply Chain Characterization .................................... 7 The Global Space Economy ......................................................................................... 7 Current Commercial Space Activity at the Cape ....................................................................10 Launch Vehicles ....................................................................................................................10 Spacecraft and Cargo ...........................................................................................................12 Future Commercial Space Activity in Florida ........................................................... 13 Smallsats ..............................................................................................................................13 Commercial Cargo and Crew ................................................................................................14 Dedicated Smallsat Launch Vehicles ....................................................................................16 Medium- to Heavy-Class Launch Vehicles ............................................................................16 Refurbishable Launch Vehicles .............................................................................................17 Supply Chain Characterization and Volusia County Impacts ................................. 19 Smallsats Supply Chain ........................................................................................................20 Commercial Crew and Cargo Supply Chain ..........................................................................23 Smallsat Launch Vehicles Supply Chain ...............................................................................25 Medium- to Heavy-Class Launch Vehicle Supply Chain ........................................................27 Refurbishable Launch Vehicle Supply Chain .........................................................................29 Appendix – Additional Supplier Profiles ................................................................... 31 Systems Supplier Profiles .....................................................................................................31 Subsystems Supplier Profiles ................................................................................................35 Assemblies Supplier Profiles .................................................................................................38 Study Methodology ..................................................................................................... 41 11 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 2 Executive Summary This report characterizes the commercial space industry supply chain at Florida’s Cape Canaveral Spaceport, which consists of Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) (collectively, the “Cape”), to inform Volusia County’s economic development efforts. The report provides an overview of the global space economy and current commercial space activity at the Cape, and identifies trends likely to impact the commercial space industry at the Cape. The report examines the impacts of these trends to the supply chain and provides detailed supplier profiles. The Global Space Economy. The global space economy has experienced growth across several indicators, including investments, number of launch sites, spacecraft launched and the services they provide, and the rise of new companies providing launch and satellite services. This growth is coupled with a changing supply chain as both legacy and start-up space companies pursue vertical integration, develop the capacity to refurbish launch vehicles, and leverage technology advances such as additive manufacturing. Significant figures and recent milestones in the global space economy include the following: In 2018, the global launch industry recorded the most orbital launches since 1990 (114). Since 2000, over 250 venture capital firms have invested more than $13.9B in start- up space companies.More than 20% of this investment is concentrated in three companies with a substantial presence in Florida: SpaceX, OneWeb, and Blue Origin. Although the number of launch site options in the U.S. is expanding, all U.S.-based orbital launches last year took place at just three locations: Florida’s Cape Canaveral Spaceport, Vandenberg Air Force Base, and Wallops Island, Virginia. The 2017 Global Space Economy at a Glance 12 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 3 Current Commercial Space Activity at the Cape. The report analyzes current Cape activity in two segments—launch vehicles and spacecraft/cargo—to establish a basis for assessing future activities. The Cape is the United States’ most active spaceport, and historically, the vast majority of U.S. launches have occurred from the Cape (see figure above). The vehicles that launch from the Cape include the current workhorses for the U.S. launch industry, SpaceX’s Falcon 9 and United Launch Alliance’s (ULA’s) Atlas V and Delta IV. Additionally, the Cape launched the vast majority of satellites headed to an orbit accessible from the Cape in 2018 (25% of U.S.-launched spacecraft).1 U.S. Government spacecraft represented 40% of primary payloads (versus secondary, or ride-share payloads) launched from the Cape in 2018, while the remaining 60% of primary payloads were for non-U.S. Government customers, most of which were commercial. Future Commercial Space Activity at the Cape. Future commercial space activity in Florida is likely to be affected by four major trends in the space industry: The growing use of smallsats. Small satellites, or smallsats, offer the promise of advanced capabilities at a lower cost and at a lower overall mass (reducing per-satellite launch costs). Existing and emerging commercial space companies are developing increasingly advanced smallsats with a host of use cases, including telecommunications, remote sensing, weather monitoring, and internet-of-things applications. While not all plans will come to fruition, over 10,000 smallsats are currently planned for the next decade, compared to about 2,000 total satellites in orbit today. To date, the Cape has not launched large volumes of smallsats , in part because most smallsats have been remote sensing smallsats requiring an orbit not accessible from the Cape. However, the Cape is home to a significant manufacturer in the emerging smallsat sector, the Airbus/OneWeb factory, and is set to play an i mportant role in this changing market segment. NASA’s reliance on commercial crew and cargo. NASA has transitioned the role of transporting cargo and astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) to commercial companies through its commercial cargo and crew programs. NASA’s commercial cargo and crew missions are, and will remain, a steady stream of demand for the Cape. Sixty-five NASA 1 Satellites require specific orbits to perform their functions (for example, remote sensing satellites largely operate in polar orbits, while communications satellites have historically required geostationary orbits). Payloads are not typically launched from the Cape to orbits that would require launching over populated areas. 13 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 4 commercial cargo and crew missions are projected between 2019 and 2027. Two companies, SpaceX and Northrop Grumman, c urrently provide cargo from the Cape to the ISS through NASA’s commercial cargo program. Sierra Nevada Corporation, with its Dream Chaser vehicle, will become a third cargo provider in the coming years. SpaceX and Boeing (utilizing United Launch Alliance (ULA) launch vehicles), will soon transport astronauts from the Cape to the ISS through NASA’s commercial crew program. These companies all have a presence at the Cape and support a robust network of suppliers locally and across the country. In addition, these providers’ presence and existing infrastructure at the Cape are likely to encourage any emerging U.S. orbital tourist activity to launch from the Cape . The expanding use of smallsat launch vehicles. Launch vehicles are categorized by the mass they are capable of putting into orbit, with classifications ranging from small to heavy.2 The significant increase in planned smallsats has been accompanied by an increase in the planned launch vehicles for them: over 40 dedicated smallsat launch vehicles are in some phase of development. In 2019, two of the planned smallsat launch vehicles, Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace, announced plans to launch from the Cape. Both of these companies plan to begin building facilities and bring new activity to the Cape this year. The continued use and introduction of new medium- and heavy-class launch vehicles. The majority of launch activity at the Cape is carried out by medium - and heavy-class launch vehicles. These vehicles include SpaceX’s Falcon and Falcon Heavy, ULA’s Atlas, Delta, and planned Vulcan, Blue Origin’s planned New Glenn, and Northrop Grumman’s planned Omega. Every major launch vehicle manufacturer, including the companies with a significan t current presence at the Cape, is developing new medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. The replacement of existing vehicles with new ones will change the type of vehicles launching from the Cape, but will not necessarily change the Cape’s core tenants or significantly impact the volume of Cape launches. A related aspect of this trend is the development of refurbishable vehicles, a focus of both SpaceX and Blue Origin. Both companies have or are establishing in-house capabilities at the Cape to conduct some refurbishment activities. Beyond decreasing the need to manufacture new vehicles, the impact of refurbishment to the Cape’s activity and supply chain are yet to be determined. 2 Launch vehicles are divided into four categories by the FAA: Small - Maximum mass capacity is 2,268 kg (5,000 lb.) to low Earth orbit (LEO) or less; Medium - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 2,269 kg (5,001 lb.) to 5,443 kg (12,000 lb.) to LEO; Intermediate - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 5,444 kg (12,001 lb.) to 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO; and Heavy - Maximum mass capacity is greater than 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO. 14 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 5 Supply Chain Characterization and Volusia County Impacts. The trends discussed above will impact the commercial space industry’s supply chain at the Cape. This study identifies and discusses the suppliers in these areas at the system, subsystem, and assemblies levels and assesses their potential impacts on Volusia County. Smallsat supply chain. Smallsats have unique manufacturing requirements, due to their mass and power constraints, leading to the creation of new subsystem products designed specifically for their small form factor. These new product lines may create new supply chain opportunities for companies, and by extension, Volusia County. To date, the Cape has not launched large volumes of smallsats; however, as smallsats are relatively easy to transport, manufacturers are not necessarily drawn to launch site proximity. A more significant factor for Volusia County may be the presence of the Airbus/OneWeb factory at the Cape. This factory is poised to manufacture the 600+ satellites OneWeb telecommunications constellations and may utilize this scale to become a market leader in this high -growth area. As is discussed in further depth in the report, companies have already established facilities at the Cape to supply the OneWeb factory. Commercial crew and cargo supply chain. Four commercial crew and cargo spacecraft are already launching or expected to launch from the Cape in 2019: SNC’s Dream Chaser, Boeing’s CST-100 Starliner, and SpaceX’s Crew and Cargo Dragon vehicles. NASA’s commercial cargo and crew programs will maintain steady activity at the Cape. The relatively advanced phase of development of these spacecraft, however, make it unlikely new local facilities will be required despite the activity around these programs. Recruitment potential for Volusia County would likely require suppliers to relocate existing facilities. If a significant U.S. orbital tourist market develops, it could increase demand for commercial crew and cargo -like services and supply chain inputs. Smallsat launch vehicle supply chain. Many dedicated smallsat launch companies, including Example supplier profile. The report contains profiles of existing and promising Cape systems, subsystems and assemblies suppliers. 15 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 6 Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace, are vertically integrated and use additive manufacturing, which changes the materials these companies purchase and the workforce they require. For example, Relativity is planning to manufacture nearly its entire launch vehicle through additive manufacturing. Both Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace are integrating service offerings, such as payload processing, into full service solutions. Future workforce opportunities are likely to be more concentrated within these companies, rather than in outside suppliers, with supply opportunities for these companies likely to be concentrated in less complex goods such as components, parts, hardware, and materials to manufacture higher tier elements. Medium- to heavy-class launch vehicle supply chain. Most medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles are developed by more established aerospace companies, leveraging established supply chain partners, with some in-house manufacturing of subsystems. Two such developments, Northrop Grumman’s new Omega launch vehicle and ULA’s planned Vulcan family, are still formally establishing their supply chains, yet both are likely to utilize historic supply chain partners. Blue Origin is also making major investments in future launch vehicles, including building new facilities at the Cape to support these activities. These developments could lead to continued growth in activity and supply chain opportuniti es at the Cape as these planned vehicles mature. However, manufacturers’ reliance on established supply chain partners means that recruiting companies to Volusia County would likely entail enticing suppliers to relocate existing activities. Refurbishable launch vehicle supply chain. Proximity requirements likely dictate that refurbishing vehicles will remain a Cape-based activity. Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are refurbishing their own launch vehicles, completing this work at new refurbishment -specific sites on the Cape. As companies are just beginning to operate refurbished vehicles on a regular basis, the total industry demand and capacity for this service remains uncertain. Smallsat manufacturing, commercial crew and cargo, small launch vehicles and new medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles, and refurbishable launch vehicles are the high- growth and trend areas most likely to impact Volusia County’s supply chain opportunities. As discussed further in the report, key factors for Volusia County to consider when assessing suppliers in these areas is the maturity of the business models driving the supply chain, the maturity of the supply chain and its component suppliers, and the impact, if any, of proximity to the launch facilities at the Cape. Established business models in these areas are more likely to be supported by established supply chains and suppliers, likely focusing opportunities for Volusia county on the relocation or establishment of additional facilities by relevant suppliers. Emerging business models likely present a greater opportunity to shape the supply chain and suppliers, but carry the additional risk of being based on business plans that have yet to be proven. Further discussion and detailed profiles of system, subsystem, and assemblies p roviders in these areas is provided in the report and appendices. 16 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 7 Commercial Space Industry Supply Chain Characterization The Global Space Economy The global space economy has experienced growth across several indicators, including investments, number of launch sites, spacecraft launched and the services they provide, and the rise of new companies providing launch and satellite services. This growth is coupled with a changing supply chain as both legacy and start-up space companies pursue vertical integration, develop the capacity to refurbish launch vehicles, and leverage technology advances such as additive manufacturing. The satellite industry forms the bulk of the global space economy, with satellite services (~$130B), ground equipment (~$120B), satellite manufacturing (~$16B), and launch (~$5B) comprising the industry in 2017.3 Government space budgets were estimated at ~$78B in the same year. The satellite industry has seen modest revenue growth over the last few years, with 3% growth estimated from 2016 to 2017. The global launch industry recorded 114 orbital launches in 2018, the most since 1990. This included 24 commercial launches, 14 from the United States. China recorded the most launches overall, with 39, followed by the United 3 Data for 2018 not yet available at the time of publication. The 2017 Global Space Economy at a Glance Orbital Launches 1957-2018 by Commercial (Orange) and Non-Commercial (Green). 17 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 8 States (31)4, Russia (17), and Europe (11). Since 2000, the space economy has generated substantial interest from investors. A wide variety of investors, including more than 250 venture capital firms, have invested more than $13.9B in start-up space companies.5 A significant portion of this growth is concentrated in three companies with a substantial presence in Florida: SpaceX, OneWeb, and Blue Origin each have more than $1B in investments. All three of these companies are assessed in this characterization. In addition, four smaller start-up space firms in Florida have together raised more than $5M in investments. These smaller firms are developing small launch vehicles, producing Earth observation satellite constellations, and pursuing on-orbit satellite servicing. Along with a growth in investors, there are expanding launch site options for space companies: there are now 12 U.S. launch and reentry sites licensed by the Federal Aviation Administration Office of Commercial Space Transportation (FAA AST). Even with these expanding options, however, all U.S. orbital launches last year took place at just three locations: Florida’s Cape Canaveral Spaceport, which consists of Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) (collectively, the “Cape”); Vandenberg Air Force Base (VAFB, the base proper and California Spaceport); and Wallops Island, Virginia, which consists of the Wallops Flight Facility (WFF) and Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport (MARS).6 4 U.S. company Rocket Lab also had three launches from New Zealand in 2018. 5 Bryce defines emerging space companies as companies that began as angel- and venture capital-backed start-ups and have one of the following four business lines: (1) Manufactures satellites, launch vehicles, or other space -based systems, (2) Manufactures satellite ground equipment, (3) Provides services that rely on these systems, such as satellite TV, radio, and broadband, (4) Provides analytic services based on data collected extensively from space-based systems, either alone or in combination with terrestrial systems. 6 In 2018 the U.S. licensed three launches by a U.S. company that occurred outside the U.S. (Rocket Lab launches from New Zealand). Note that Cape Canaveral Spaceport is the area composed of KSC and CCAFS. Some assets at both installations are owned and/or managed by Space Florida for commercial use. Magnitude of Investment, Excluding Debt, Acquisitions, and Offerings, by Type (2000-2017). 18 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 9 These three sites are also attracting future business with start-up space companies. All three sites have announced launch agreements with start-up companies offering dedicated smallsat launch services. Many of these start-up companies plan to operate from multiple launch sites. At least two start-up space companies have established their own launch sites for either testing, operations, or both. Both companies—SpaceX and Blue Origin—operate from the Cape, but also use private launch sites in Texas. Of note, neither of these Texas sites is licensed by FAA AST as a commercial launch site, or counted in lists of commercial launch sites, because the sites will be used exclusively by the companies themselves and will not host multiple launch service providers. 19 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 10 Current Commercial Space Activity at the Cape Understanding the current commercial space activities at the Cape is the first step in analyzing future Cape activity and its impact on the supply chain. This section analyzes current Cape activity in two segments—launch vehicles and spacecraft/cargo—to establish a basis for discussing future activities. Launch Vehicles Launch vehicles are categorized by the mass they are capable of putting into orbit, with classifications ranging from small to heavy.7 Historically, the vast majority of U.S. launches occur from the Cape, and these have mainly been of medium- and heavy-class launch vehicles. The medium and heavy launch vehicles that launch from the Cape include SpaceX’s Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy and United Launch Alliance’s (ULA’s) Atlas V and Delta IV. All of these vehicles also launch (or have plans to launch in the case of the Falcon Heavy) from the United States’ other major launch site, VAFB 7 Launch vehicles are divided into four categories by the FAA: Small - Maximum mass capacity 2,268 kg (5,000 lb.) to low Earth orbit (LEO) or less; Medium - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 2,269 kg (5,001 lb.) to 5,443 kg (12,000 lb.) to LEO; Intermediate - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 5,444 kg (12,001 lb.) to 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO; and Heavy - Maximum mass capacity is greater than 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO. The Cape is the Most Active U.S. Launch Site Note: “Other U.S.” includes FAA-licenced launches by Rocket Lab (Rocket Lab launched three times from New Zealand in 2018) 20 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 11 SpaceX’s Falcon 9 represents a growing portion of the Cape’s—and the world’s—launches. The Falcon 9 is likely to continue launching from the Cape over the next decade. Since its first launch in 2010, the Falcon 9 has launched from the Cape 68 times, including 18 launches that used refurbished boosters. The Falcon 9 carries national security, NASA, and commercial payloads to orbit, transports cargo to the International Space Station (ISS), and is poised to begin crewed missions to the ISS in 2019. The Falcon 9 was used for the first time to carry the Crew Dragon (in a test flight without a crew) to the ISS on March 2, 2019.8 The Falcon Heavy also had its debut launch from KSC in 2018 and is slated to continue launching from the Cape. The Department of Defense (DoD) and commercial satellite operators Arabsat, Inmarsat, Intelsat, and ViaSat have contracted with SpaceX for flights aboard Falcon Heavy vehicles. After the Falcon 9, Atlas V and Delta IV launches have accounted for the most launches from the Cape, accounting for almost one-half (94) of the Cape’s launches since the two vehicles were introduced (in 2002). 9 In the coming year, ULA plans to use the Atlas V to launch Boeing’s CST- 100 Starliner spacecraft to the ISS from the Cape. ULA has announced that both the Atlas V and the Delta IV will be replaced by ULA’s Vulcan family beginning in 2021. Vulcan is also slated to launch from the Cape. 8 As of March 11, 2019. 9 As of March 11, 2019. Florida Launches by Vehicles and Total U.S. Launches (2014-2018). 21 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 12 A growing class of planned launch vehicles are dedicated smallsat launch vehicles. Over 40 smallsat launch vehicles are in service or under development. Companies developing these vehicles are seeking to capitalize on projected demand for smallsats (discussed in subsequent sections). While there were 68 small vehicle launches worldwide in the last five years, the Cape has hosted three small vehicle launches (a 2017 Minotaur IV launch and Pegasus XL launches in 2013 and 2016) to date. Announcements in the first months of 2019 indicate smallsat launch vehicles may be a growing business for the Cape: two start-up small launch companies (Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace) announced plans for new facilities at the Cape to support their Terran-1 and Alpha vehicles, respectively, in the first months of 2019. Spacecraft and Cargo The Cape launched the vast majority of satellites that were seeking an orbit accessible from the Cape in 2018 (25% of U.S.-launched spacecraft).10 Spacecraft launched from the Cape can be divided into two broad operator categories: U.S. Government spacecraft, which represented 40% of primary payloads (versus secondary, or ride-share payloads) launched from the Cape in 2018, and non-U.S. government (mostly commercial) spacecraft. The Cape launches an average of 12 U.S. government payloads per year, which tend to be a steady source of launch demand for the Cape. Forty percent of U.S. government missions launched from the Cape are DoD missions, and another forty percent are NASA missions. Intelligence missions (fifteen percent) and meteorology missions (five percent) make up the remaining U.S. government-sponsored missions. There are two primary types of non-U.S. government satellites: Commercial communications satellites and commercial remote sensing (such as Earth imaging) satellites. Commercial communications satellites enable many services including television, satellite radio, and satellite broadband. Commercial remote sensing satellites focus sensors on Earth to gather data for geographic analysis, national security missions, meteorology, climatology, and other uses. Large communications satellites are typically launched from the Cape to a geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO). In 2018, all GEO commercial communications satellites that launched from the United States launched from the Cape. The commercial communications satellite market is currently undergoing a transition that may impact the Cape’s future commercial GEO launches. Historically, commercial communications satellites have been large GEO satellites that require the launch of replacements on fairly predictable cycles. Changing consumer preferences and emerging smallsat options are creating uncertainty in the large GEO satellite market. This trend, and its impacts on the Cape, is discussed further in the section on smallsats. Remote sensing satellites are not typically launched from the Cape as they generally require a type of orbit – a polar orbit – less accessible from the Cape. 10 Satellites require specific orbits to perform their functions. For example, remote sensing satellites largely operate in polar orbits, while communications satellites have historically required geostationary orbits. Payloads are not typically launched from the Cape to orbits that would require launching over populated areas. In the past 5 years, KSC/CCAFS has launched 60 government missions 24 DoD missions, including 9 GPS satellites 23 NASA missions, including 17 missions to resupply the ISS 9 Intelligence agency missions 4 NOAA satellites 22 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 13 Future Commercial Space Activity in Florida Future commercial space activity in Florida is likely to be affected by four major trends in the space industry: the growing use of smallsats, NASA’s reliance on commercial crew and cargo, the continued use and introduction of new medium- and heavy-class launch vehicles, and expanding use of smallsat launch vehicles. This section analyzes current product development and market validation signs in each area. Smallsats Small satellites, or smallsats, offer the promise of advanced capabilities at a lower cost and at a lower overall mass (benefiting launch costs). A wide variety of existing and emerging commercial space companies are developing increasingly advanced smallsats with a host of use cases, including telecommunications, remote sensing, weather monitoring, and internet of things applications. More than 1,300 smallsats have launched since 2012. To date, the Cape has not historically launched large volumes of smallsats, in part because most smallsats to date have been remote sensing smallsats requiring an orbit not accessible from the Cape. Most smallsats launched to date have been to support constellations of remote sensing smallsats. These satellites are dominated by two constellations, owned and operated by Planet and Spire Global, respectively, that account for two-thirds of commercial smallsats. Looking forward, more than 30 companies have announced plans to develop and manufacture smallsat constellations in the next decade. While all of these plans will not come to fruition, more than 10,000 smallsats are planned to launch over the next decade. Despite these plans, the majority of these satellites are not backed with significant funding. This number includes “megaconstellations” of communications smallsats designed to enable global internet connectivity. Two planned telecommunications megaconstellations are OneWeb, with a factory at the Cape, and SpaceX’s Starlink constellation, with manufacturing in the state of Washington. 23 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 14 These proposed systems can be categorized as 1) proposed but have not secured meaningful funding, 2) initially or partially funded, and 3) operational and/or substantially funded. Smallsats in the first category are the least likely to come to fruition. Smallsats in the third category, those that expand a current operational system and have substantial funding, are the most likely to come to fruition. For most of the satellites in the second category, initially or partially funded, it is too early to tell whether they will succeed—these companies are in the midst of finalizing and testing their business cases. An example of a constellation in the second category is OneWeb, which still requires substantial additional investment to complete its constellation. The success or failure of this second category of companies may impact the development of other smallsat constellations and the dedicated small launch vehicle market. Commercial Cargo and Crew Examples of NASA’s Commercial Crew and Commercial Cargo Vehicles. All Satellites Announced by a U.S. Provider, 2019-2028. 24 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 15 NASA has transitioned the role of transporting cargo and astronauts to the ISS to commercial companies through its commercial cargo and crew programs. NASA’s commercial cargo missions are, and will remain, a steady stream of demand for the Cape. Two companies currently launch cargo missions from the Cape to the ISS, SpaceX and Northrop Grumman. A third company, Sierra Nevada Corporation (SNC), has a commercial cargo vehicle in advanced phases of development and plans to begin launching cargo from the Cape in 2020. Additionally, NASA astronauts will soon be transported from the Cape to the ISS on NASA commercial crew missions. Two commercial crew vehicles, SpaceX’s Dragon Crew Capsule and Boeing’s CST- 100 Starliner, are in advanced phases of development and expected to enter service this year. A test version of SpaceX’s Dragon Crew Capsule was successfully launched to the ISS on March 2, 2019. Commercial crew and cargo missions will provide a steady stream of future demand for the Cape because they are required to support NASA’s human space presence on the ISS and likely to be consistently funded by the U.S. government. There are sixty-five NASA commercial crew and cargo missions projected between from 2019 to 2027. The figure below shows the distribution of commercial cargo and crew missions to the ISS that have taken place from 2010 through 2018 and that NASA is planning for 2019 to 2028. In addition to commercial crew and cargo missions to the ISS, NASA’s future plans involve the development of a space station-like “Gateway” in the vicinity of the Moon. Current plans include the use of commercial vehicles to bring hardware and supplies to the Gateway. As these plans develop, they could increase the planned launches from the Cape. In addition to NASA’s projected orbital crew requirements, these providers’ presence and existing infrastructure at the Cape are likely to encourage any emerging U.S. orbital tourist activity to launch from the Cape. Several companies have plans to enter the emerging space tourist market, and SpaceX and Boeing commercial crew vehicles are likely to be the transportation providers should this market emerge. If the market emerges, it may require new tourist support facilities at the Cape. NASA’s Planned Commercial Crew and Cargo Missions to ISS (2010-2028). 25 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 16 Dedicated Smallsat Launch Vehicles Launch vehicles are categorized by the mass they are capable of putting into orbit, with classifications ranging from small to heavy.11 The significant increase in planned smallsats has been accompanied by an increase in the planned launch vehicles for them: over 40 dedicated smallsat launch vehicles are in some phase of development. Some dedicated smallsat launch companies are founded in and investing in Florida. In 2019, two new launch companies, Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace announced plans to launch from the Cape. Relativity Space announced a 20-year lease to develop a launch facility at the Cape. Relativity Space reports it will launch its first rocket, Terran-1, from the Cape in 2020. Firefly Aerospace, another emerging smallsat launch company, announced plans to construct a $52M facility at the Cape. Firefly Aerospace announced this facility will be able to produce 24 of its Alpha launch vehicles per year and plans to begin launching from the Cape in 2021. Firefly has not announced when its Cape factory will open. Additionally, two Florida start-ups, Aphelion Orbitals and Mishaal Aerospace, are developing dedicated smallsat launch vehicles. The long-term success of dedicated smallsat launch vehicles depends on the demand created by the smallsat market for launches and these companies’ ability to meet schedule and cost goals. Dedicated smallsat launch vehicles are likely to be competitive launch options in four launch scenarios: launching small operational constellations, launching small sets of technology demonstration satellites, launching small parts of big constellations that require multiple orbital planes, and launching replacements for existing smallsats. The next two years are a key period for the smallsat launch market as smallsat companies’ launch demands solidify and multiple dedicated smallsat launch companies prepare for their first flights. In the meantime, contracts with governments and satellite operators may provide early indicators of market demand. Initial contracts have been awarded under NASA’s Venture Class Launch Services (VCLS) program to Rocket Lab and Virgin Orbit. The European Space Agency (ESA) has also awarded five small launch vehicle study contracts. Additional notable contract awards include: Virgin Orbit: DoD’s Space Test Program, SITAEL, Cloud Constellation Corporation, Sky and Space Global, Planet, and OneWeb. Vector: Finland-based ICEYE, which plans to deploy nearly 20 remote sensing satellites. Rocket Lab: In addition to its successful launches for Spire Global, GeoOptics, DARPA, and NASA, Rocket Lab has announced contracts with Planet, Spaceflight Industries, and Moon Express. Medium- to Heavy-Class Launch Vehicles The majority of launch activity at the Cape is carried out by medium- and heavy-class launch vehicles. These vehicles include SpaceX’s Falcon and Falcon Heavy, ULA’s Atlas , Delta, and planned Vulcan, Blue Origin’s planned New Glenn, and Northrop Grumman’s planned Omega. Every major company in this sector, including the companies with a significant current presence at the Cape (ULA, SpaceX, Northrop Grumman, and Blue Origin), is developing new 11 Launch vehicles are divided into four categories by the FAA: Small - Maximum mass capacity 2,268 kg (5,000 lb.) to low Earth orbit (LEO) or less; Medium - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 2,269 kg (5,001 lb.) to 5,443 kg (12,000 lb.) to LEO; Intermediate - Maximum mass capacity is in the range of 5,444 kg (12,001 lb.) to 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO; and Heavy - Maximum mass capacity is greater than 11,340 kg (25,000 lb.) to LEO. 26 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 17 medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. In many cases, companies plan to retire an existing launch vehicle while transitioning a replacement vehicle. ULA, for example, is replacing its Atlas V and Delta IV vehicles with the Vulcan. These replacements will change the type of vehicles launching from the Cape, but are unlikely to change the Cape’s core tenants or significantly impact the volume of Cape launches. Launch Complex 39 (LC-39) will continue to be used in the years ahead sustaining a rich legacy of spaceflight that begins with Apollo. LC-39A will be used by SpaceX to support launches of the Falcon 9 for crewed launches and the Falcon Heavy. The company will continue to use LC-40 for non-crewed missions. SpaceX’s use of its Texas launch site under development remains to be seen. SpaceX’s Elon Musk has stated that Falcon and Falcon Heavy launches will remain at the Cape and Vandenberg, while SpaceX’s future Super Heavy Rocket / Starship (formerly BFR) will launch from its Texas facility. SpaceX plans to continue to use the Cape to support government and crewed missions. LC-39B will be used for NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) and may be used by Northrop Grumman’s OmegA vehicle. Assets used to support launches from LC-39, such as the Vehicle Assembly Building (VAB) and Mobile Launch Platforms (MLP), will support SLS and potentially OmegA. For some of these new launch vehicles, it is too early to see if they will succeed or fail. Government contracts can be early signs of potential success or failure: every successful launch company to date has had the government as a tenant. Contracts for national security missions, awarded under the competitive National Security Space Launch (NSSL) program (formerly the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle program), are one such indicator. The NSSL program aims to assure launch access for national security missions, and since 2002 it has been responsible for 75 successful launches placing more than $50B worth of national security satellites into orbit. The most recent award under this program came in October 2018, with $2B for vehicle development contracts to Blue Origin, Northrop Grumman, and ULA for the New Glenn, OmegA, and Vulcan vehicles, respectively. All of these companies have or are planning Cape operations. NASA’s Launch Services Program (LSP), managed at KSC, will also continue to be used for procurement of launch services supporting agency missions. LSP contracts are awarded to launch service providers offering any class of launch vehicle, though most are for medium - to heavy-class vehicles. LSP also oversees awards of VCLS to providers of dedicated smallsat launch vehicles and the CubeSat Launch Initiative (CSLI), which provides a means for identifying rideshare launch opportunities aboard U.S. government vehicles to non-government cubesat operators. Refurbishable Launch Vehicles Refurbishing vehicles decreases the need to manufacture new vehicles. Two key companies with a Cape presence, SpaceX and Blue Origin, have or are developing refurbishable launch vehicles and are investing in new Cape facilities to support these vehicles. In 2018, SpaceX announced plans to expand its facilities at KSC to “streamline operations to launch, land and re- fly [the] Falcon family of rockets.” In 2018, Blue Origin announced an additional $60M testing and refurbishment facility at KSC’s Exploration Park and managed by Space Florida. Additionally, Orbiter Processing Facilities (OPF) used during the Space Shuttle era have been repurposed under lease agreements with KSC to support government and commercial vehicles requiring routine refurbishment. OPF-1 and OPF-2 are used by the USAF, with contractor 27 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 18 support from Boeing, to refurbish the X-37B orbital spaceplane. OPF-3 is used by Boeing to maintain its CST-100 Starliner spacecraft. Beyond decreasing the need to manufacture new vehicles, it is unclear at this time to what extent refurbishable vehicles will impact the Cape’s activity and supply chain in the long term. 28 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 19 Supply Chain Characterization and Volusia County Impacts The trends discussed above will likely have impacts on the commercial space industry supply chain. The supply chain can be characterized by using a five-tier map where each tier describes the relative complexity of products. The suppliers in the trend and high-growth areas are described in this report at the system, subsystem, and assemblies levels. Vertical Integration Some start-up space firms, including many launch companies such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, Relativity Space, and Firefly Aerospace, are vertically integrated. Vertically integrated firms internalize significant pieces of their supply chain, manufacturing elements spanning multiple industry tiers. Additionally, vertically integrated firms frequently produce several different technologies within one tier: most vertically integrated launch companies produce many of their own systems, subsystems, and assemblies. For example, SpaceX manufactures launch vehicles and spacecraft across all tiers, from system integration to additive manufacturing of basic hardware, and manufactures all of its own subsystems—integrating horizontally within a tier. This means that vertically integrated companies frequently do not purchase systems, subsystems, or assemblies. However, even these companies still purchase lower tier items, such as components, parts, hardware, and materials, to manufacture higher tier elements. The specific components, parts, hardware, and materials purchased by vertically integrated companies are predicated by the companies’ supply chain and manufacturing strategy. Bryce examined the supply chain for two potentially high-growth vertically integrated companies with recent Cape 29 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 20 announcements, Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace. Relativity Space additively manufactures 95% of their Terran-1 rocket, using their custom designed 3D metal printer. Though Relativity is pursuing this highly automated process to ultimately enable its vision of printing rockets on Mars, its product strategy significantly impacts , and simplifies, its supply chain. Aside from the printer, the primary inputs for Relativity’s manufacturing process are the metal alloys (aluminum and nickel) used to feed the printer. Relativity also purchases the limited number of components, parts, hardware, and materials—for example, electronics and turbo pump bearings—that it does not print. Firefly Aerospace is using a vertically integrated supply chain to carefully manage costs, and the major Firefly investor has made statements indicating it is pursuing further vertical integration through mergers and acquisitions. Firefly fabricates vehicle subsystems and assemblies, including its avionics, propulsion systems, and structures, using both additive and traditional manufacturing techniques. A major Firefly Investor, Noosphere Ventures, has said it is seeking to acquire component suppliers in the near future to further integrate the supply chain and control more of the value chain. Companies such as Firefly and Relativity are emerging businesses and their final manufacturing plans are still in development. Discussions with these companies as they solidify manufacturing plans could be valuable to Volusia County. Smallsats Supply Chain Smallsats have unique manufacturing requirements, due to their mass and power constraints, which is leading to the creation of new subsystem products designed specifically for this small form factor. These new product developments may create new supply chain opportunities for companies, and by extension, Volusia County. To date, the Cape has not launched large volumes of small sats; however, as smallsats are relatively easy to transport, manufacturers are not necessarily drawn to launch site proximity. For example, OneWeb satellites are manufactured in Florida but planned for launch from French Guiana and other locations. A more significant factor in recruiting smallsat suppliers for Volusia County may be the presence of the Airbus/OneWeb factory at the Cape. This factory is poised to manufacture the 600+ satellites comprising the OneWeb telecommunications constellations and may utilize this scale to become a market leader in this high-growth area. There is early evidence that proximity to this factory is motivating some smallsat subsystem and component suppliers to relocate. RUAG, a Swiss company, recently collocated with OneWeb in Florida to manufacture the structures for OneWeb satellites. RUAG sales and marketing director Niklas Boman told SpaceNews that “being geographically close to the satellite assembly, integration and test facility or the launch base has a huge impact on the overall business case.” This may be especially true of companies, such as RUAG, that provide high-volume components. For example, a single satellite may require a few thousand structural mounting components, which becomes significant considering OneWeb’s planned 600+ satellites. To characterize the smallsat supply chain Bryce developed a subsystem level supply chain for two types of smallsat manufacturers: OneWeb (Florida), which manufactures large constellations of the same type of smallsats, and York Space Systems (Colorado), a start-up manufacturer that 30 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 21 makes smallsats for a wide range of uses and operators (below). Major component suppliers of York Space Systems and OneWeb. Of the diverse set of subsystem providers used by OneWeb and York Space Systems, some are established aerospace companies, such as Airbus and RUAG. These established companies already provide significant support to many parts of the aerospace industry, from launch vehicles and large satellites, and have developed specific subsystems for the smallsat market. Other suppliers used by OneWeb and York, such as Enpulsion, are newer companies that focus specifically on manufacturing smallsat subsystems. Supplier profiles for representative subsystem (Enpulsion) and assembly (Maxar) providers of potentially high-growth products for smallsats are below. Additional supplier profiles are included in the appendices. York Space Systems York Space Systems Attitude determination & control, Structure, Thermal AAC Microtec Power, Command & data handling ENPULSION Propulsion Bridgesat Telemetry, tracking & command Vectronic Guidance & navigation Mission Dependent Payload OneWeb OneWeb/Airbus Attitude determination & control, Power, Thermal GMV Command & data handling; Telemetry Tracking and Control Airbus Propulsion; Guidance and Navigation RUAG Space Structure Teledyne Defense/MAXAR Payload 31 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 22 Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Westminster, CO Typical Size ~100 jobs per facility Unique Workforce Skills Radio Frequency electronics engineer, electrical engineer, systems engineer Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, special environment container by road or air, <1 cubic meter Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals (e.g. aluminum, titanium, ferrous alloys), communication subcomponents (e.g. antennae), specialty electronics (e.g. space-certified chipsets, interface devices) Current Industry Capacity Demand dependent on success of communication constellations Typical Proximity May be remote: antenna production located in Quebec, Canada; satellites initially built in Toulouse, France but shifting to Florida Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Wiener Neustadt, Austria Typical Size Fewer than 50 jobs per facility Unique Workforce Skills High energy physics Transportation Requirements Safe to transport and <1 cubic meter Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals (e.g. indium, stainless steel), specialty tools Current Industry Capacity Smallsat industry is growing, but not all smallsats require (ex. CubeSats) Typical Proximity Remote (from Austria to USA) Profile of Smallsat Component Suppliers Maxar and Enpulsion. 32 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 23 When assessing smallsat suppliers, Volusia County should consider three characteristics of the current smallsat industry in addition to relevant company specifics. First, business plans that use smallsats as the predominate platform for providing satellite services are an emerging business model, but they are generally addressing an established market (for example, providing satellite telecommunications). These new models present opportunities to shape the supply chain and suppliers, but also carry the risk of being based on business plans that have yet to be proven. Established demand for satellite services indicate a basis for their success. Second, smallsat manufacturers leverage both existing and emerging space industry suppliers. Emerging suppliers may be more flexible in establishing manufacturing locations, but existing suppliers may be more stable businesses that supply multiple parts of the space industry. Finally, smallsat manufacturing does not need to be near launch sites. As previously discussed, Volusia County’s proximity to key system manufacturers, such as Airbus/OneWeb, may be as beneficial in recruiting future companies than proximity to launch sites. Commercial Crew and Cargo Supply Chain Four commercial crew and cargo spacecraft are already launching or expected to launch from the Cape in 2019: SNC’s Dream Chaser, Boeing’s CST-100 Starliner, and SpaceX’s Crew and Cargo Dragon vehicles. Bryce characterized the supply chain of all four vehicles. Both of SpaceX’s vehicles, like all of its launch vehicles, use vertically integrated supply chains. While SpaceX purchases components, parts, hardware, and materials, such as aluminum and titanium, to support this manufacturing, it does not purchase subsystems. Bryce’s profile of SpaceX is included in the systems section. Commercial Crew and Cargo Supply Chain. NASA’s commercial cargo and crew programs will maintain steady activity at the Cape. The relatively advanced phase of development of these spacecraft, however, makes it unlikely new local facilities will be required despite the activity around these programs. Recruitment 33 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 24 potential for Volusia County would likely require suppliers to relocate existing facilities. Bryce characterized potential primary and potential high-growth suppliers for commercial crew and cargo missions. Additional profiles are included in the appendices. Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Sparks, NV Typical Size 800-900 jobs (Colorado Dream Chaser facility) Unique Workforce Skills Rocket engine engineer/design, and flight software design Transportation Requirements Air, rail, road for movement of components to other facilities and launch site, 7 meters x 9.1 meters Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Composites, Subsystems (e.g. Guidance Navigation and Control, composite structures) Current Industry Capacity Commercial Cargo contract secured, in competition with other ISS servicers Typical Proximity Remote assembly (CO) integration occurs at launch site Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Cambridge, MA Typical Size 100-200 jobs per facility Unique Workforce Skills Guidance, navigation, and control engineer; positioning, navigation, timing engineer Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, possible specialized environmental containers, <1 cubic meter Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Electronic components, materials, computer equipment, machine tools Current Industry Capacity Existing and emerging launch vehicles and space vehicles may increase demand Typical Proximity Close proximity SNC and Draper Supplier Profiles. 34 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 25 Key factors for Volusia County in assessing potential supply chain opportunities associated with commercial crew and cargo activities are the relatively established nature of these manufacturers and supply chains; the flexibility in integration location; and the potential emerging opportunities associated with vehicle refurbishment and, potentially, with orbital tourism. The relatively advanced phase of development of commercial crew and cargo spacecraft means that most suppliers are already in place, and therefore there is not necessarily an incentive for suppliers to create new facilities to support commercial crew and cargo manufacturing needs. Recruitment potential for Volusia County would likely require suppliers to relocate existing activities. For example, SNC is the newest provider, but their supply chain is also relatively established. Some commercial crew and cargo vehicle manufacturers integrate their vehicles prior to shipping them to launch sites – SNC integrates the Dream Chaser in Colorado. This flexibility may limit the proximity advantage for Volusia County in recruiting new commercial crew and cargo suppliers. Refurbishment of these spacecraft may present future opportunities if providers, in seeking efficiencies, employ subcontractors for various maintenance needs. These needs were not found at present. Finally, if a significant U.S. orbital tourist market develops, it could increase demand for commercial crew and cargo-like services and supply chain inputs. Significant tourist demand could also generate requirements for tourist and visitor training and support facilities. Smallsat Launch Vehicles Supply Chain As previously discussed, many emerging smallsat launch companies, including Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace, use a vertically integrated supply chain enabled at least in part by additive manufacturing. These companies purchase components, parts, hardware, and materials, such as nickel and electronics, to support their manufacturing, but do not purchase subsystems. Since these companies do not purchase subsystems, subsystem level supply chain maps were not developed for these vehicles. Supplier profiles of Relativity and Firefly are below. Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Cedar Park, TX Typical Size 170 jobs at facility Unique Workforce Skills Additive and precision manufacturing Transportation Requirements No special requirements, highway transportable Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials and chemicals, (e.g. carbon composites, copper, nickel) Current Industry Capacity Small launch vehicle market evolving, but unlikely that demand can support all small launch vehicles currently in development Typical Proximity Remote, payload integration at launch site 35 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 26 Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Los Angeles, CA Typical Size 60 jobs, currently advertising 100+ positions at facility Unique Workforce Skills Automation, machine learning, additive manufacturing Transportation Requirements Manufacturers at launch site Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Metals, for example aluminum and nickel alloys, electronics, turbo pump bearings Current Industry Capacity Small launch vehicle market evolving, but unlikely that demand can support all small launch vehicles currently in development Typical Proximity Plans to manufacture on the Cape Firefly Aerospace and Relativity Space Supplier Profiles. Both companies’ supplier profiles demonstrate the effects of their vertical integration and the growing prominence of additive manufacturing. As more companies across the space sector pursue both vertical integration and additive manufacturing, these companies could provide leading indicators of future employee and materials requirements. Both Relativity Space and Firefly Aerospace are also integrating service offerings, such as payload processing, into full service solutions. Relativity Space’s new Cape factory will have payload processing capabilities bringing another piece of launch services into its value chain. Firefly Aerospace recently announced a partnership with York Space Systems to provide a complete product solution that includes services from spacecraft manufacturing to launch and downlink services. Volusia County has several key factors to consider in assessing potential small launch vehicle supply chain opportunities. First, this current set of small launch vehicles are based on a new business model designed to meet the schedule needs of an emerging smallsat market. Emerging small launchers, such as Relativity and Firefly, see opportunities to be more cost competitive than the previous generation of small launch vehicles by leveraging evolving manufacturing techniques, such as additive manufacturing. However, given the high number of small launchers in development and continued price pressure from medium to heavy launchers, these business models remain to be proven. Further, most emerging companies are using vertically integrated supply chains, and leveraging additive manufacturing, in ways that will impact supply chain opportunities for Volusia County. Given that these companies are still in the development 36 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 27 stage, Volusia County may gain important insight into small launch vehicle companies’ long-term viability and supply chain plans through continued conversations with these companies. Medium- to Heavy-Class Launch Vehicle Supply Chain Most medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles are developed by more established aerospace companies, typically utilizing more traditional supply chain partners, with some in-house manufacturing of subsystems. Subsystem level supply chain profiles for launch vehicles with significant investments at the Cape are below. Most medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles are developed by more established aerospace companies, leveraging established supply chain partners, with some in-house manufacturing of subsystems. Two such developments, Northrop Grumman’s new Omega launch vehicle and ULA’s planned Vulcan family, are still formally establishing their supply chains, yet both are likely to utilize historic supply chain partners. Blue Origin is also making major investments in future launch vehicles, including building new facilities at the Cape to support these activities. These developments could lead to continued growth in activity and supply chain opportunities at the Cape as these planned vehicles mature. However, manufacturers’ reliance on established supply chain partners means recruitment potential for Volusia County would likely require suppliers to relocate existing activities. Below are supply chain profiles for Aerojet Rocketdyne and RUAG, both market leaders for their particular subsystems and assembly and subsystem suppliers for emerging medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. Medium/Heavy Launch Vehicle Supply Chain. 37 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 28 Attributes Remarks Headquarters: El Segundo, CA Typical Size 800 jobs at propulsion facility; 400 jobs at energetics facility Unique Workforce Skills None identified (materials scientists, engineering and processing) Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, <10 cubic meters Environmental Impact Hazardous waste Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. Hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene, graphite- epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys), specialty tools Current Industry Capacity Expected shift in demand from supplying stage engines for Atlas/Delta to boosters for SLS and spacecraft thrusters Typical Proximity May be remote Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Bern, Switzerland Typical Size 60 jobs at FL facility Unique Workforce Skills 3D modeling Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, 5.5 meters long Environmental Impact Minimal impact Major Items Purchased Composite materials, specialty tools, Aluminum, carbon fiber, plastic sheets, resin Current Industry Capacity Currently expanding facility to meet demand, may change if refurbishing/recovery becomes common Typical Proximity Co-located, but may be remote Aerojet Rocketdyne and RUAG Supplier Profiles. 38 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 29 Both established and emerging companies are developing new medium to heavy launch vehicles to address the existing medium to heavy launch market. Although the market overall is established, it is yet to be seen whether the market can accommodate all of the existing and planned launch vehicles. While these new vehicles may generate some supply chain transitions and opportunities, both the established and emerging companies’ medium and heavy launch suppliers at the Cape have established supply chains. Recruitment potential for Volusia County would likely require suppliers to relocate existing activities. These opportunities may also be limited to lower value suppliers as these companies’ higher value engine manufacturing activities occur elsewhere, such as SpaceX’s facility in California and Blue Origin’s planned facility in Alabama. Refurbishable Launch Vehicle Supply Chain Proximity requirements of refurbishing vehicle likely dictate that this will remain a Cape-based activity. Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are refurbishing their own launch vehicles, completing this work at new refurbishment-specific sites on the Cape. As companies are just beginning to operate refurbished vehicles on a regular basis the total industry demand and capacity for this service remains uncertain. This strategy potentially limits supply chain opportunities for Volusia County, unless these companies shift to include outside servicers for this activity in the future. Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Hawthorne, CA Typical Size 300-500 jobs in Florida Unique Workforce Skills Precision manufacturing, mission operations logistics, refurbishment evaluation/maintenance Transportation Requirements Highway in special truck – 70m length, specialized boats (barges) Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. graphite-epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys, helium, nitrogen), manufacturing systems, propellants (e.g. liquid oxygen, rocket grade kerosene, dinitrogen tetroxide, monomethyl hydrazine), carbon fiber, aluminum, titanium Current Industry Capacity Steady growth in recent years Typical Proximity Manufacture and assembly remote, integration occurs at launch site 39 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 30 Attributes Remarks Headquarters: Kent, WA Typical Size ~300-400 jobs expected in Florida with additional Florida facility Unique Workforce Skills Flight control & mission operations Transportation Requirements Specialized needs due to dimensions (7m diameter, 96m length—length may be reducible) Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. graphite- epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys) manufacturing systems (Ingersoll Mongoose), propellant (e.g. liquid oxygen, liquefied natural gas) Current Industry Capacity Precursor government contracts secured, contracts with a few commercial customers, will compete with heavy vehicles Typical Proximity Engine manufacturing in Alabama, final assembly and some manufacturing at launch site SpaceX and Blue Origin Supplier Profiles. 40 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 31 Appendix – Additional Supplier Profiles Bryce developed supplier profiles for potentially high-growth systems, subsystems, and assembly providers. These profiles characterize suppliers’ typical size, unique workforce skills, transportation requirements, environmental impact, major items purchased, current industry capacity, and typical proximity to launch sites. For unique workforce skills, the profile only includes workforce skills that are unique to that supplier in comparison to other aerospace manufacturing suppliers. For instance, most suppliers require aerospace, quality, and production engineers. For the purposes of these profiles these are not identified as unique workforce skills. Utility needs of spacecraft and launch systems, subsystems, and assemblies manufacturers are considered as a whole, rather than applying specific utility needs to each supplier or supplier type as utility data was not consistently publicly available at the individual supplier level. Available data on recently built or approved plants, including SpaceX and Blue Origin’s new Cape facilities, indicate that these facilities fit within available Cape energy infrastructure and did not require specialized utility infrastructure beyond that which would be required of any large new manufacturing facility. Further, a review of manufacturing energy consumption survey data indicates that many spacecraft and launch system manufacturers’ utility requirements fall in line with those of other major industries that fabricate metals, plastics, machinery and electrical equipment. Space industry manufacturers that make products using nonferrous metals (primarily aluminum, but also other metals, such as zinc) may have higher energy requirements as these metals require more energy intensive manufacturing processes. Systems Supplier Profiles Bryce developed supplier profiles for the high-growth categories identified throughout this analysis: Smallsats, commercial crew and cargo vehicles, dedicated smallsat launch vehicles, and new medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. 41 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 32 Launch Providers with Existing Cape Investments System Manufacturer SpaceX Blue Origin ULA Northrop Grumman System Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy New Glenn Atlas V, Delta IV, Vulcan OmegA Typical Size 300-500 jobs in Florida ~300-400 jobs expected in Florida with additional Florida facility Fewer than 1,000 jobs per facility 500 jobs in mid-2018, planning increase to 1,000 by 2020 (OmegA program) Unique Workforce Skills Mission operations logistics, refurbishment evaluation/maintenance Flight control & mission operations Flight control & mission operations Flight control & mission operations Transportation Requirements Highway in special truck –70m length, specialized boats (barges) Specialized needs due to dimensions (7m diameter, 96m length – length may be reducible) Typically specialized cargo aircraft, Delta IV by ship Air, rail (for booster segments) for movement of components to other facilities and launch site Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Hazardous waste/materials from assembly and integration, some from launch Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. graphite-epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys, helium, nitrogen), manufacturing systems, propellants (e.g. liquid oxygen, rocket grade kerosene, dinitrogen tetroxide, monomethyl hydrazine) Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. graphite-epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys) manufacturing systems (Ingersoll Mongoose), propellant (e.g. liquid oxygen, liquefied natural gas) Subsystems (e.g. propulsion – helium and propellant tanks, rocket engines, solid boosters, composite and metal structures –tank domes, avionics – telemetry GNC, payload adapters, payload fairings) specialty tools, propellant (e.g. liquid oxygen, liquid hydrogen, rocket grade kerosene) Subsystems (e.g. payload adapter, propulsion – third stage engine, structures – graphite epoxy composite), propellant (e.g. hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene, liquid oxygen, liquid hydrogen) Current Industry Capacity Steady growth in recent years Precursor government contracts secured, contracts with a few commercial customers, will compete with heavy vehicles Existing government launch provider, limited commercial contracts; future plans to extend commercial launch opportunities Will compete with existing medium/heavy vehicles Typical Proximity Manufacture and assembly remote, integration occurs at launch site Engine manufacturing in Alabama, final assembly and some manufacturing at launch site Manufacturing likely remote, final assembly & integration at launch site Manufacture may be remote, final assembly & integration at launch site 42 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 33 Emerging Small Launch Vehicles with Announced Cape Investments System Manufacturer Relativity Space Firefly Aerospace System Terran-1 Alpha Typical Size 60 jobs, currently advertising 100+ positions at facility 170 jobs at facility Unique Workforce Skills Automation, machine learning, additive manufacturing Additive and precision manufacturing Transportation Requirements Manufacturers at launch site No special requirements, highway transportable Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (e.g. carbon composites, copper, nickel) Metals, for example aluminum and nickel alloys, electronics, turbo pump bearings Current Industry Capacity Small launch vehicle market evolving, but unlikely that demand can support all small launch vehicles currently in development Small launch vehicle market evolving, but unlikely that demand can support all small launch vehicles currently in development Typical Proximity Plans to manufacture on the Cape Remote, payload integration at launch site Emerging Payload Providers with Existing Cape Facilities System Manufacturer OneWeb System OneWeb satellite Typical Size 250 jobs Unique Workforce Skills Payload system engineer, propulsion assembly and test; guidance navigation and control engineer; radio frequency system engineer Transportation Requirements Transportable by road or air in special environment container, <150kg and <25 cubic meters Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Subsystems, such as solar cells, momentum wheels, electronic components computer equipment, and machine tools Current Industry Capacity OneWeb constellation 600 satellites over 3-5 years. Satellite industry as of 2018: 20 -30 satellites of OneWeb mass class per year. Typical Proximity Manufactured in Florida, launched from multiple locations including French Guiana and possibly Mojave, CA via Virgin Orbit 43 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 34 Commercial Crew and Cargo Vehicles System Manufacturer SpaceX Boeing SNC System Dragon CST-100 Starliner Dream Chaser Typical Size 300-500 jobs in Florida Up to 550 jobs (anticipated) 800-900 jobs (Colorado Dream Chaser facility) Unique Workforce Skills Mission operations logistics Data science, computer programmer, Rocket engine design and flight software design Transportation Requirements Highway, 8.1 meters x 4 meters Safe to transport, limited by volume (~5m diameter & length) Air, rail, road for movement of components to other facilities and launch site, 7 meters x 9.1 meters Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals (e.g. aluminum, Inconel, titanium), materials, and chemicals (e.g. NTO/MMH, carbon composite), EOS additive manufacturing systems Specialty metals (e.g. aluminum alloy, stainless steel), specialty chemicals (e.g. polyether-ketone), subsystems (e.g. propulsion, thermal, ECLSS, recovery, etc.) Composites (e.g. carbon composites, TUFROC, aluminum alloy), subsystems (propulsion, avionics, thermal, etc.) Current Industry Capacity Commercial Cargo/Crew contracts secured, in competition with other ISS servicers Commercial Crew contracts secured, in competition with other ISS servicers Commercial Cargo contract secured, in competition with other ISS servicers Typical Proximity Remote assembly, integration occurs at launch site Assembled and integrated at launch site Remote assembly (CO) integration occurs at launch site 44 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 35 Subsystems Supplier Profiles Bryce developed profiles for representative suppliers for each type of spacecraft or launch vehicle subsystem used in smallsats, commercial crew and cargo vehicles, dedicated smallsat launch vehicles, and new medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. Commercial crew and cargo systems require unique subsystems to support their missions. Bryce developed profiles for Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) and Recovery System to characterize these needs. Payload Subsystems Subsystem Manufacturer RUAG Maxar/MDA Draper Advanced Cooling Technologies Subsystem Structure Command & Data Handling Systems Guidance & Navigation Thermal Typical Size 60 jobs at FL facility ~100 jobs per factory 100-200 jobs per facility 200 jobs at facility Unique Workforce Skills 3D modeling Guidance, navigation and control engineer, thermal engineer, synthetic aperture radar solutions engineer Guidance, navigation, and control engineer; data analytics; data scientist; positioning, navigation, and timing engineer Thermal engineer, materials scientist Transportation Requirements Safe to transport and <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, special environment container by road or air, <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, possible specialized environmental containers, <1 cubic meter Safe to transport and <1 cubic meter Environmental Impact Minimal impact Hazardous materials/waste Hazardous materials/waste Hazardous materials/waste Major Items Purchased Metals (aluminum, ferrous alloys), precision tools, Aluminum, carbon fiber, plastic sheets, resin Electronic components (space-certified chipsets), computer equipment, machine tools Electronic components (space-certified chipsets), materials (carbon composite), computer equipment, machine tools Specialty chemical solutions (PTFEs, kapton, ammonia, ethane), specialty metals (copper), precision tooling systems Current Industry Capacity Growing Depends on satellite mass class; smallsat constellations may require thousands of units Existing and emerging launch vehicles and space vehicles may increase demand CubeSat industry growing, and thermal controls necessary for many CubeSats Typical Proximity May be remote but opening new locations near systems manufacturers Remote, Canada to Florida Close proximity Remote (Lancaster, PA to global) 45 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 36 Payload Subsystems (continued) Subsystem Manufacturer Aerojet Rocketdyne Jacobs Enpulsion Oceaneering Subsystem Power Recovery Propulsion ECLSS Typical Size 400 jobs at energetics facility Fewer than 250 jobs at facility (multiple products) Fewer than 50 jobs at facility More than 100 jobs at facility Unique Workforce Skills None identified Piping engineering High-energy physics Fluid engineering Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, variable dimensions Safe to transport and <1 cubic meter (packed) Safe to transport and <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, variable dimensions. Testing apparatuses may not be transportable Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Minimal impact Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (Hydroxyl- terminated polybutadiene, graphite-epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys), specialty tools Specialty fabrics (polyester, nylon, Kevlar), parachute system subcomponents Specialty metals (indium, stainless steel), specialty tools Specialty fabrics (Dacron, neoprene, Kevlar, Mylar. Nylon, etc.), robotic components, specialty metals (nickel alloy, stainless steel) Current Industry Capacity Expected stable demand for larger satellites and growing demand for smallsats Slight increase in demand due to maturation of Commercial Cargo/Crew, then stable demand Smallsat industry is growing, but not all smallsats require (ex. CubeSats) Industry has sufficient capacity unless major growth in human spaceflight Typical Proximity May be remote Remote (Texas to Tier 1 site) Remote (from Austria to USA) May be distant from launch site, must be near spacecraft assembly 46 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 37 Launch Subsystems Subsystem Manufacturer ULA L3 Moog RUAG Aerojet Rocketdyne Subsystem Structure Guidance, Navigation and Control/Attitude Determination and Control Payload Adapter Payload Fairings Power/Propulsion Typical Size Fewer than 1,000 jobs per facility ~800 jobs space & sensors division ~300 jobs at facility (multiple products) 60 jobs at Florida facility 800 jobs at propulsion facility; 400 jobs at energetics facility Unique Workforce Skills Materials scientist None identified None identified 3D modeling None identified Transportation Requirements Dimensions vary, safe to transport by highway or air Small and safe for transport by highway or air Safe to transport, diameter usually <2 meters Safe to transport, <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, variable dimensions Environmental Impact Hazardous materials/waste Hazardous waste/materials Minimal impact Minimal impact Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Subsystems (propulsion – helium and propellant tanks, rocket engines, solid boosters, composite and metal structures – tank domes, avionics – telemetry GNC, payload adapters, payload fairings) specialty tools, propellant (liquid oxygen, liquid hydrogen, rocket grade kerosene) Computer component (circuit boards, microchips, space-certified chipsets, star trackers, gyro systems, antennae, control interfaces etc.) Metals, specialty tools, lightweight conductive alloy, semi elastic plastics Composites, specialty tools, aluminum, carbon fiber, plastic sheets, resin Specialty metals, materials, and chemicals (Hydroxyl- terminated polybutadiene, graphite-epoxy, nickel alloy, stainless steel, aluminum, titanium alloys), specialty tools Current Industry Capacity At capacity, company meets needs of own launch vehicles (vertical production) Limited spacecraft avionics demand met, may also support aviation demand Demand currently growing, RUAG (competitor) recently expanded facilities Currently expanding facility to meet demand, may change if refurbishing/recovery becomes common Expected stable demand for larger satellites and growing demand for smaller satellites Typical Proximity May be remote May be remote May be remote Co-located, but may be remote May be remote 47 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 38 Assemblies Supplier Profiles Bryce developed assembly profiles for likely high-growth assemblies for smallsats, commercial crew and cargo vehicles, dedicated smallsat launch vehicles, and new medium- to heavy-class launch vehicles. Bryce specifically focused on assemblies that are high value or that have new requirements arising from their use in the high-growth areas identified throughout this report. 48 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 39 Payload Assemblies Assembly Manufacturer Honeywell BridgeSat Spectrolab Busek Assembly Gyro Systems Lasercom Solar power Engine Typical Size Fewer than 750 jobs per facility Fewer than 20 jobs per facility Fewer than 500 jobs per facility ~50 jobs Unique Workforce Skills Flight control, optical science Optical science, electrical engineer, atmospheric science Solar cell assembly engineer; automated process Electro thermal propulsion engineer; micro propulsion engineer; Material scientist; nanotechnology specialist Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, durable, <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, <1 cubic meter Safe to transport, but fragile, requires special environment container by road, sea, or air Safe to transport, but fragile, requires special environment container by road, sea, or air Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Laser systems, circuit boards, precision tooling Laser systems, circuit boards, precision tooling, interface components Semiconductor material, gallium arsenide; structural materials; specialized glass Structural materials (non-magnetic alloy), metals (bismuth, zinc, magnesium, ferrous alloy) gases (xenon, argon, iodine, krypton), machine tools, electronic components, computer & test equipment, software Current Industry Capacity Expected to grow with emerging satellite market Lasercom market expected to grow, rate unknown Industry can support current demand of 200- 400 payloads launched into orbit, most equipped with solar cells of some size Industry can support current demand of 200 -300 smallsats launched into orbit annually Typical Proximity May be remote May be remote May be remote May be remote 49 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 40 Launch Vehicle Assemblies Assembly Manufacturer EaglePicher Technologies Honeywell Chemring Energetic Devices Assembly Battery Computer Pyrotechnic Bolts Typical Size Less than 500 employees per facility (multiple products) 600-750 jobs per facility 250-400 per factory Unique Workforce Skills None identified None identified Energetic physics, pyrotechnic engineers Transportation Requirements Safe to transport, generally <1 meter dimensions Safe to transport, generally <1 meter dimensions (for launch vehicles/payloads) Transportable with general pyrotechnic restrictions, generally <1 meter dimensions Environmental Impact Hazardous waste/materials Minimal. Has policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Hazardous waste/materials Major Items Purchased Specialty metals (nickel, lithium, copper, silver, zinc) and chemicals (chloride, cadmium, sulfur, hydrogen), specialty tools (battery production) Integrated circuits and microprocessors, circuit boards and related hardware. Precision machining tools, zirconium, potassium perchlorate, ceramics, O-rings, Inconel 718 alloy Current Industry Capacity Recently expanded production Industry meets current demand Industry meets current demand Typical Proximity Remote (MO to AL/FL) Remote (AZ to many locations) Remote (CA to many locations) 50 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 41 Study Methodology To characterize the launch and satellite supply chain and inform Volusia County’s economic development efforts, Bryce utilized its internal datasets and forecast models and conducted interviews and desk research. Bryce’s approach resulted in a supply chain characterization with the following components outlined in this report: Description of the current and emerging commercial space industry as it relates to the Cape Assessment of launch vehicle and payload types with the highest growth potential at the Cape Identification of likely Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers of the high-growth entities Profiles of the identified likely suppliers To complete each component, Bryce conducted the following specific activities. Description of the current and emerging commercial space industry as it relates to the Cape. Bryce used its proprietary datasets, which include comprehensive information on the launch industry and a database of start-up space activity, and recently conducted assessments of the small launch vehicle market, small satellite market, and suppliers to those markets to develop initial descriptions of the industry. Bryce examined aerospace industry trade association reports and data, published research and reports, industry publications and commentary, and press reports and statements to further inform the report. Assessment of launch vehicle and payload types with the highest growth potential at the Cape. Bryce identified launch and payload/cargo companies with significant past or planned investments at the Cape. Bryce then used its satellite and launch forecasting models to identify vehicles and payloads likely to launch from the Cape. Finally, Bryce reviewed aerospace industry trade association reports and data, published research and reports, industry publications and commentary, and press reports and statements seeking to identify other potential payloads or launch missions that had future announced plans at the Cape. 51 brycetech.com 1199 N. Fairfax St. | Suite 501 | Alexandria, VA 22314 | 703-647-8070 | info@brycetech.com 42 Identification of likely Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers of the high-growth entities. Bryce focused on characterizing the supply chain for high-growth systems, and the subsystems and assemblies that comprise those systems. Bryce utilized historical data and publicly available documentation of future space industry engagements to identify the high-growth markets, and then evaluated probable candidates for inclusion into the future supply chain based on forecasted growth and viability as a potential member of the Cape economy. Profiles of the identified likely suppliers. Bryce created profiles of suppliers likely to be of greatest interest to Volusia County. Profiles were developed to provide Volusia County with essential information for assessing the benefit of collaborating with a profiled supplier or supplier type. Bryce examined aerospace industry trade association reports and data, published research and reports, industry publications and commentary, and press reports and statements; examined economic reporting of businesses; and conducted interviews to gather further information on the facility and supply chain profiles. 52 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4142,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : Economic Development Advisory Board Budget DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation Department SUMMARY:Review,discuss and vote on Proposed Economic Development Advisory Board FY 2019- 2020 Budget. RECOMMENDED ACTION: Recommend to City Council for approval. City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™53 City of Edgewater Economic Development Advisory Board Proposed Budget FY 2019 - 2020 ITEM / DESCRIPTION FY 2019 -2020 001-1230-552.31-10 Professional Services Team Volusia - Manufacturing Recruitment 25,000.00$ Constant Contact 840.00$ 001-1230-552.40-10 Travel & Per Diem SEV Chamber Monthly Business Luncheons 500.00$ SEV Chamber Monthly Business After Hours Events 60.00$ FRA Conference Hotel & Meals (CRA)900.00$ 001-1230-552.41-40 Communications & Freight / Postage 250.00$ 001-1230-552.47-10 Printing & Binding 500.00$ 001-1230-552.47-20 Copier 1,250.00$ 001-1230-552.48-10 Promotion / Marketing Southeast Volusia Chamber of Commerce Sponsorship Includes:5,500.00$ SEV Chamber of Commerce Memberships (CM, PR, ED) $625 Directory Ad Full page ($985) Home Show Business Expo Sponsor ($500) Master's of Business Award (Installation) ($500) SEVMI meeting hosting, administrative, printing, copying ($500) SEV Chamber Support for the following: ($2,015) Business Retention / Expansion Activities (surveys, visits, etc.) Recruitment and Economic Development Support Events Promotion 52 weeks & Media Sponsorship Package SEVMI Promotional Opportunities 10,000.00$ Economic Development Edgewater Promotional 5,000.00$ 001-1230-552.49-10 Other Charges / Obligations 50.00$ 001-1230-552.51-10 Office Supplies 100.00$ 001-12030-552.52-10 Operating Supplies 650.00$ 001-1230-552.54-10 Books, Pubs, Subs, & Memberships FRA Membership Dues (CRA)620.00$ 001-1230-552.54-20 Educational Development FRA Annual Conference 500.00$ Total 51,720.00$ 54 City of Edgewater Economic Development Advisory Board Approved Budget FY 2018 - 2019 ITEM / DESCRIPTION FY 2018 - 2019 001-1230-552-31-10 Professional Services Team Volusia - Manufacturing Recruitment 25,000.00$ Constant Contact 310.00$ 001-1230-552-40-10 Travel & Per Diem SEV Chamber Monthly Business Luncheons 500.00$ SEV Chamber Monthly Business After Hours Events 60.00$ FRA Conference Hotel & Meals (CRA)700.00$ 001-1230-552-41-40 Communications & Freight / Postage: 250.00$ 001-1230-552-47-10 Printing & Binding: 500.00$ 001-1230-552-47-20 Copier 1,250.00$ 001-1230-552-48-10 Promotion / Marketing: Southeast Volusia Chamber of Commerce Sponsorship Includes:5,500.00$ SEV Chamber of Commerce Memberships (CM, PR, ED) $625 Directory Ad Full page ($985) Home Show Business Expo Sponsor ($500) Master's of Business Award (Installation) ($500) SEVMI meeting hosting, administrative, printing, copying ($500) SEV Chamber Support for the following: ($2,015) Business Retention / Expansion Activities (surveys, visits, etc.) Recruitment and Economic Development Support Events Promotion 52 weeks & Media Sponsorship Package SEVMI Promotional Opportunities 10,000.00$ 001-1230-552-49-10 Other Charges / obligations 50.00$ 001-1230-552-51-10 Office Supplies 100.00$ 001-12030-552-52-10 Operating Supplies 650.00$ 001-1230-552-54-10 Books, Pubs, Subs, & Memberships : FRA Membership Dues (CRA)495.00$ 001-1230-552-54-20 Educational Development: FRA Annual Conference 700.00$ Total 46,065.00$ 55 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4183,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : Southeast Volusia Marketing Initiative Promotional Opportunities DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation Department SUMMARY: RECOMMENDED ACTION: Board members, please review the following websites: Livability <https://livability.com/> Meghaphone Marketing <https://www.meghaphonemarketing.com/> Harbordashery Productions <https://harbordashery.com/> Blue Dog Video <https://www.youtube.com/user/daytonavideoprod> Halifax Health <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKeHfNRIXkE&t=4s> City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™56 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4143,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : 2019 Scholarship Committee Selections DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation Department SUMMARY: Scholarship Committee update and presentation of 2019 scholarship recipients. RECOMMENDED ACTION: City of Edgewater Printed on 5/23/2019Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™57 ____ ____ CONFIDENTIAL - Scholarship Selections Please complete ALL information and return NO LATER THAN APRIL 19, 2019 Return to:Brenda Hamilton Phone: 386-424-2555, ext. 38520 New Smyrna Beach High School 1015 Tenth Street Fax: 386-424-0055 Email: bshamilt@volusia.k12.fl.us New Smyrna Beach, FL 32168 Number of scholarships: Amount of each scholarship: Recipient(s) (If each scholarship amount is different, please enter the amount after the student’s name.) 1. 2. 5. 3. 6. If the student you select is receiving a lot of other local scholarships, do you want us to call you? YES NO If you want us to choose alternates for scholarships when students are already receiving a lot, please list the students in order that you would like for us to use as alternates. Alternate(s): 1. 3. 2. 4. Disbursement of Scholarship Awards Please select the method in which you will award your scholarship funding on Honors Night: Donor will write and deliver check made payable to student on Honor’s Night Donor will write check made payable to the college/university that the student will be attending, and will mail it directly to the college/university after Honor’s Night (NSBHS recommends this method) Instructions for obtaining funds will be given to the student by the donor Name of Scholarship: Name of person (contact) submitting information: Contact Address: Contact Email: Contact TelephoneNumber(s): ____  . . 9 $1,000.00 City of Edgewater Local School Scholarship Samantha Bergeron 104 N. Riverside Drive, Edgewater, FL 32132 parks@cityofedgewater.org 386-424-2400 x7205 Kalee Baker Samuel Bookhardt Orlane Cardot Joseph Mikos Miranda Pawlak Sydni Powers ✔ ✔ Marissa Shank Kylie Smith Mackenzie Coleman 58 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4144,Version:1 BOARD AGENDA ITEM SUBJECT : Donna Snow Resignation DEPARTMENT: Parks & Recreation Department SUMMARY:Donna Snow is resigning from the Economic Development Advisory Board upon term completion in July.Currently,there is one open seat on the Board and Donna Snow's resignation will create a second vacancy.One application,on file with the City,is provided here and the Board may want to suggest other candidates to recommend to City Council to fill the two Board seats. RECOMMENDED ACTION: City of Edgewater Printed on 4/26/2019Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™59 Date: April 8, 2019 To: City of Edgewater Economic Development Advisory Board From: Donna Snow RE: Board Term Expiration Dear Economic Development Advisory Board, My term on the Board will expire in July. As we approach this date, I want to give you ample notice that I will not be seeking or serving another term. I want to thank this Board, the City of Edgewater and our remarkable Chair, Bliss Jamison, for giving me the opportunity to serve. I have learned so much about economic development and smart growth planning over the last 6 years. I believe that serving on this Board is what prepared me most to serve as President of the SEV Chamber of Commerce during a time when economic growth issues were and continue to be a debatable topic for citizens across Southeast Volusia. Hopefully, this early notification will give the Board plenty of time to evaluate candidates to fill my vacated seat. I have truly enjoyed serving with all of you. I wish you all continued success as you advance the quality of life for residents and businesses in the City of Edgewater. Best regards, Donna Snow Donna Snow 60 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4186,Version:1 City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™61 City of Edgewater Legislation Text 104 N. Riverside Drive Edgewater, FL 32132 File #:AR-2019-4187,Version:1 City of Edgewater Printed on 10/22/2021Page 1 of 1 powered by Legistar™62