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2001-O-36 '" <..J '-' . . ORDINANCE NO. 2001-0-36 AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY OF EDGEW A TER AMENDING THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ORDINANCE NO. 90-0-18, AMENDING THE FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT BY AMENDING ANY AND ALL OF THE FUTURE LAND USE MAPS, MAP CATEGORIES, lYIAP SERIES; BY AMENDING THE FUTURE LAND USE MAPS TO INCLUDE AGRICULTURE, LOW DENSITY TRANSITION, MIXED USE AND CONSERV ATION OVERLAY CATEGORIES AND BY ELIMINATING THE PLANNED INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT CATEGORY; BY AlYIENDING THE EXISTING LAND USE MAP, DATA AND INVENTORY, AND LAND USE ANAL YSIS, TABLES, GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES AND BY PROVIDING CONSISTENCY WITH OTHER ELEMENTS OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN; PROVIDING FOR PUBLICATION; PROVIDING FOR HOLDING PUBLIC HEARINGS; PROVIDING FOR TRANSMITTING THIS COlYIPREHENSIVE PLAL~ AMENDMENT TO THE FLORIDA DEP ARTMENT OF COMMUNITY AFFAIRS, THE VOLUSIA GROWTH MANAGEMENT COMMISSION, VOLUSIA COUNTY, THE REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL, THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT, THE DEP ARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, THE FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AND ANY OTHER UNIT OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT OR GOVERNMENTAL AGENCY THAT HAS REQUESTED A COpy OF THE PLAN AMENDMENT; PROVIDING FOR CONFLICTING ORDINANCES; AND PROVIDING AN EFFECTIVE DATE. Whereas, from time to time it becomes necessary to amend the City of Edgewater Comprehensive Plan, and Whereas, such amendments are permitted subject to the provisions of Chapter 163, F.S. and Rule 9J-11, F.A.C. Whereas, the Planning and Zoning Board, sitting as the City's Local Planning Agency, held an advertised Public Hearing pursuant to 163.3164(18) & 163.3174(4) (a), Fla. Stat. (2000), on #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) SrI tick tI,l ough passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. "'" u u . ~ Wednesday, April 11, 2001, on the proposed Plan Amendments and following that Public Hearing voted and recommended that the City Council approve the aforesaid Amendments to the City's 1990 Comprehensive Plan; and Whereas, the City Council feels it is in the best interests of the citizens of the City of Edgewater to amend its 1990 Comprehensive Plan as more particularly set forth hereinafter. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT ENACTED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF EDGEWATER, FLORIDA: PART A. AMENDMENT. Amending the future land use element by amending any and all of the future land use maps, map categories, map series; by amending the future land use maps to include agriculture, low density transition, mixed use and conservation overlay categories and by eliminating the planned industrial development category; by amending the existing land use map, data and inventory, and land use analysis, tables, goals, objectives and policies and by providing consistency with other elements of the comprehensive plan. PART B. PUBLICATION. That the notice of this proposed change of the Edgewater Comprehensive Plan shall be published in the manner prescribed by 163.3184 ( 15) (c), Fla. Stat. (2000). The City Council shall hold at least TWO (2) advertised Public Hearings on the proposed Comprehensive Plan Amendments. The first publication shall appear at least SEVEN (7) days before the first Public Hearing (Transmittal Hearing). 163.3184 (15) (b) 1., Fla. Stat. (2000). The second publication shall appear at least FIVE (5) days before the second Public Hearing (Adoption Hearing). 163.3184 (15) (b) 2., Fla. Stat. (2000). The required advertisement shall be no less than two columns wide by TEN #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) SrI uck till ougl. passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. 2 '-> u inches (10") long in a standard-size or tabloid-size newspaper, and the headline in the advertisement shall be no smaller than EIGHTEEN (18) point. The advertisement shall not be placed in a portion of the newspaper where legal notices and classified advertisements appear. The advertisement shall be placed in a newspaper of general paid circulation in the City of Edge water, and of general interest and readership in the municipality, not one oflimited subject matter, pursuant to Chapter 50 of the Florida Statutes. Whenever possible, the advertisement shall appear in the newspaper that is published at least FIVE (5) days a week, unless the only newspaper in the municipality is published less than FIVE (5) days a week. 163.3184 (15) (c) 2.b., Fla. Stat. (2000). The advertisement shall substantially be in the following form: Notice of Comprehensive Plan Amendments The City of Edgewater proposes to adopt the following ordinance: ORDINANCE NO. 2001-0-36 AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY OF EDGEWATER AMENDING THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ORDINANCE NO. 90-0-18, AMENDING THE FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT BY AMENDING ANY AND ALL OF THE FUTURE LAND USE lVIAPS, MAP CATEGORIES, MAP SERIES; BY AMENDING THE FUTURE LAND USE MAPS TO INCLUDE AGRICULTURE, LOW DENSITY TRANSITION, MIXED USE AND CONSERVATION OVERLAY CATEGORIES AND BY ELIMINATING THE PLANNED INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT CATEGORY; BY AMENDING THE EXISTING LAND USE MAP, DATA AND INVENTORY, AND LAND USE ANALYSIS, TABLES, GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES AND BY PROVIDING CONSISTENCY WITH OTHER ELEMENTS OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN; PROVIDING FOR PUBLICATION; PROVIDING FOR HOLDING PUBLIC HEARINGS; PROVIDING FOR TRANSMITTING THIS COMPREHENSIVE PLAN AMENDMENT TO THE FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY AFFAIRS, THE VOLUSIA GROWTH MANAGEMENT COMMISSION, VOLUSIA COUNTY, THE REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL, THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT, THE DEP ARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, THE FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AND ANY OTHER UNIT OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT OR GOVERNMENTAL AGENCY THAT HAS REQUESTED A COpy OFTHE PLAN AMENDMENT; PROVIDING FOR CONFLICTING ORDINANCES; AND PROVIDING AN EFFECTIVE DATE. #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) St! uck till ough passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. 3 o Q A public hearing on the ordinance amending the Future Land Use Element will be held on June 18, 2001 at 7:00 p.m. at the Community Center, 102 N. Riverside Drive, Edgewater, Florida 32132. PART C. PUBLIC HEARINGS. That as a condition precedent to the adoption of this ordinance amending the City's 1990 Comprehensive Plan, the City Council shall hold at least two advertised public hearings on the proposed comprehensive plan or plan amendment as follows: The first public hearing shall be held at the transmittal stage pursuant to subsection 163.3184 (15) (b), Fla. Stat. It shall be held on a weekday at least 7 days after the day that the first advertisement is published. The second public hearing shall be held at the adoption stage. It shall be held on a weekday at least 5 days after the day that the second advertisement is published. 163.3184, Fla. Stat. (2000). The Adoption Hearing shall be held within 120 days of the Department of Community Affairs having issued its Objections, Comments, and Recommendations Report to the City. PART D. TRANSMITT AL OF AMENDMENTS TO PLAN. Immediately following the Transmittal Hearing, the City Manager or his designee shall send SIX (6) copies of the proposed Plan Amendments to the Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Community Planning, Plan Processing Team, and all other items specified to be transmitted in accordance with Rule 9J-11.006, F .A.c. The City Manager or his designee shall also, immediately following the Transmittal Hearing, transmit a copy of the proposed Plan Amendments to the Volusia Growth Management Commission, Volusia County, Regional Planning Council, the St. Johns River Water Management District (Water Management District), Florida Department of Transportation, Department of Environmental Protection and to any other unit ofloca1 government #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) Stltlck tll10tlgL passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. 4 o o or governmental agency in the State that has filed a written request with the City of Edgewater for a copy of such plan amendments. 163.3184 (3) (a), Fla. Stat. (2000) and Rule 9J-l1.006, F.A.C. Within TEN (10) working days following the Adoption Hearing, the City Manager or his designee . shall transmit FIVE (5) copies of the Plan Amendments and a copy of this ordinance to the Department of Comtnunity Affairs. The City Manager or his designee shall also transmit within TEN (10) working days a copy of the adopted Amendments to the Comprehensive Plan to the V olusia Growth Management Commission, V olusia County, Regional Planning Council, the St. Johns River Water Management District (Water Management District), Florida Department of Transportation, and Department of Environmental Protection. 163.3184 (7), Fla. Stat. (2000) & Rule 9J-l1.011 (3), F.A.C. . PART E. CONFLICTING ORDINANCES. That all ordinances or parts thereof that are in conflict with this ordinance shall be and the same are hereby rescinded and repealed. PARTF. EFFECTIVE DATE. That this ordinance shall become effective upon its final adoption; and either the Department of Community Affairs entering a final order finding these Comprehensive Plan Amendments in compliance, or the Administration Commission entering a [mal. order finding that these Comprehensive Plan Amendments have been brought into compliance. PART G. SEVERABILITY AND APPLICABILITY. If any portion of this ordinance is for any reason held or declared to be unconstitutional, inoperative, or void, such holding shall not affect the remaining portions of this ordinance. If this ordinance or any provisions thereof shall be held to be inapplicable to any person, property, or #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) St1l1ck tl:notlgh passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. 5 o Q circumstance, such holding shall not affect its applicability to any other person, property, or circumstance. PART H. ADOPTION. After Motion by Councilman Brown and Second by Councilman Vincenzi, the vote on the fIrst reading of this ordinance held on June 18,2001 is as follows: AYE NAY Mayor Donald A. Schmidt x Councilman James P. Brown x Councilman Dennis A. Vincenzi x <<1 Councilwoman Harriet E. Rhodes x Councilwoman Judy Lichter x After Motion by Cnl1n("'; 1 m:ln Vincenzi and Second by Councilwoman Rhodes, the vote on the second reading of this ordinance was as follows: AYE NAY Mayor Donald A. Schmidt X Councilman James P. Brown x Councilman Dennis A. Vincenzi x Councilwoman Harriet E. Rhodes x Councilwoman Judy Lichter --X- #2001-0-36 (Future Land Use Element) Sa tick t:h1 otlgh passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. 6 PASSED AND DULY ADOPTED this 17th day of December , 2001. For the use and reliance only by the City of Edgewater, Florida Approved as to form and legality by: Scott A. Cookson, Esquire City Attorney Foley & Lardner #2001-0-36 (Furore Land Use Element) Be cek daough passages are deleted. Underlined passages are added. CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF E1LDGE0WAATER,/, F�LORRIID, _1A7�/y/�/ Donald A. Schmidt Mayor ��t�llaie� Robin L. Ma ick Legal Assistant Approved by the City Council of the City of Edgewater at a meeting held on this 17th day of December 2001 under Agenda Item No. 6_Rn EXHIBIT 36 City of Edgewater COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT DECEMBER 2000 Prepared For: City of Edgewater Planning Department 104 North Riverside Drive Edgewater, Florida 32132 Prepared By: Land Design Innovations, Inc. 151 Lookout Place, Suite 200 Maitland, Florida 32751 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT TABLE OF CONTENTS A. INTRODU CTI ON ... ....... ...... ...... ................ ............. .............................................. ............ 5 1. General History... ....... ...... ...... ................ .............................. .......................................... 5 B. EXISTING LAND USE DATA AND INVENTORy....................................................... 6 . 1. Land Use Categories ..................................................................................................... 6 a. Residential Land Use Categories ................:..............:................................................................ 6 b. Corrunercial.. .... ......... .......... ...... ...... ..... .............. ......... :........... ..... ......... ............. ......... .............. ..... 7 c. ML'{ed Use...................................................................................................................................... 8 d. Industrial... .................... ..... ....... ....... ...... ........... ........ ....... ............... ...... ....................... .......... ........ 9 e. Recreation and Open Space ...................................................................................................... 10 f. Publici Semi-Public.... ....................................................... ......... .................................... ............. 10 g. Historical Resources..... ...... ......................................... ................ ............................................... 10 h. Conservation...... ............ ....... ...... ...... ........... ............. .................... ............................................... 10 1. Conservation Overlay.................. ...... ...... ......................... ......... ................................... .............. 10 ) . Water/Lakes ........... ............................ .............. ........................................................ ................... 11 k. Vacant.. ..... ................... ...................................... ............. ........ ..... .................... ................ ............. 11 2. Natural Resources............. ..... ...... ............ .................. ................................................. .11 a. Climate........... .......... ................................... ....... .......... .................. ............... ............... ........ ......... 11 b. Water Bodies/Estuarine Systems ............................................................................................. 12 c. Wetlands ... ............ ....... ........... ......... ..................... ......................... ....................................... ........ 12 d. Flood Zones .................. ........ .............................. ......................... ........................................ ....... 12 e. Topography..................... ....... ............ ......................... .............. ............................................ ....... 13 I-i CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT f. Soils ............. ...... ........ ....... ...... .... ................... ....................... ......................... .......................... ...... 13 g. Tvlinerals ........ .............. .............. .................... .......................................................... ....... ............... 13 C. LAND USE ANALYSIS .....................................................................................................13 1. Population Projections .. .......................... ......... ...................... ......................... ........... ..14 2. Analysis of Public Facilities Affecting Development...................................................14 a. Potable \Vater ............ ................... ............ ..... ............. ..... ............................. ................ ...... ......... 14 b. Sanitary Sewer.......................... ...... ................ ... ............. ....... .... .... ......... ... .... ... ..... ........... ..... ....... 15 c. Stormwater..... ............. ..... ............... ...................... ........................... ................. ............... ............ 15 d. Solid Waste......... ..... ......... ............. ............ ............. ................ ......... ................. ............................ 16 e. Transportation........ ......... ..... .................. ............... ............... .......... ........... ....... ..... ....... ............... 16 3. Analysis of Natural Conditions Affecting Development..............................................16 a. Natural Groundwater Aquifer Recharge ................................................................................. 17 b. Flood Prone Areas ............ ........... ......................... ....... ............... ....... ............. ............ ................ 17 4. Vacant Land Analysis .......... ........ ........... .............................. ............... .......... ......... ..... .17 5. Projected Land Use Needs ................................. ........................... ...............................18 a. Future Residential Land ............................................................................................................. 18 b. Future Commercial Land Use................................................................................................... 19 c. Future Industrial Land Use ....................................................................................................... 19 d. Future Recreation and Open Space Land Use ....................................................................... 20 e. Future Conservation/Conservation Overlay Land Use........................................................ 20 f. Future Public/Semi-Public Facilities ...................................... ................................................. 20 6. Need for Redevelopment....... ............................... ........................................ .... ........... .21 7. Inconsistent Land U ses ............................................................................... .................21 I-ii CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT D. GOALS, OBJECTIVES, AND POLICIES........................................................................ 30 I-ill CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT LIST OF TABLES Table 1- 1: Existing Land Use Table (2000) ................................................................................................22 Table 1- 2: Soil Table ........... .......... .................. ............. ........ .... ..................... .................... ............. ......... ...... 23 Table 1- 3: Future Land" Use Table .............................................................................................................. 27 Table 1- 4: Vacant Land Analysis .................................................................................................................28 Table 1- 5: Projected Demand for Vacant Land (2010)............................................................................ 29 LIST OF MAPS Map 1- 1: Existing Land Use Map Map 1- 2: Water Bodies and Flood Zones Map 1- 3: Wedands Map 1- 4: Topography Map 1- 5: Soils Map 1- 6: Soil Suitability for Development Map 1- 7: Public Water Wellfields Map 1- 8: Future Land Use Map I-iv CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT CHAPTER I FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT A. INTRODUCTION The purpose of the Future Land Use Element is to designate future land use patterns and densities and intensities of land uses in areas which will best accommodate the projected population and development. The Future Land Use Element is dependent upon the goals, objectives and policies of all of the other elements in the Comprehensive Plan to mini:mize adverse impacts on natural resources and maintain essential facilities and services at desired levels to maintain the quality of life within the City. The element consists of an inventory and analysis of existing land use data and patterns, the projection of future needs, objectives and policies as well as a land use plan and map series. The Future Land Use Map and associated policies and definitions will guide the review and permitting of new development. This element was developed and adopted pursuant to Chapter 163, FS, and as such will have significant legal standing. All existing development regulations will be required to be consistent with the element and plan. 1. General History The City of Edgewater originated from the visions of Dr. John Milton Hawks in 1865 when he purchased a 500 acre Spanish land grant to establish a colony on the river. In 1871, Dr. Hawks formed the Hawks Park Company and hired a land surveyor to map out the village. In his book written in 1887, Dr. Hawks described the area. "The river is interspersed with mangrove islands with no marsh in front of the village. The town site is on an elevated ridge of high hammock and pine land rising in some places twenty feet above the river and is shaded all along with a narrow grove of palm trees." Dr. Hawks named the village Hawks Park and promoted it as a "New England Village on the East Coast of Florida" to attract investors from the New England states. Hawks Park was originally laid out as 493 lots that were 100 feet by 200 feet and the streets were 50 feet wide. In 1924, the name was changed to Edgewater. The City was incorporated in 1951. The most notable industries at that time were the crab meat factory; cement pipe manufacturing; prefabricated trusses; paint, varnish and cabinet making; the Tropical Blossom Honey Company; and, Loveland Groves fruit shipping. Additionally, Edgewater had the only hospital facility on the coast south of St. Augustine. The City's population had increased from 115 citizens in 1884, to about 500 in 1944, to today's estimated population of 18,865. 1-5 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT B. EXISTING LAND USE DATA AND INVENTORY In order to better guide and direct future land uses within the City of Edgewater, it is necessary to first gain an understanding of present land use patterns. A detailed Existing Land Use Map, Map I- 1, was developed depicting the land use patterns in the City of Edgewater as of 2000. This map was developed by examining current and preliminary existing land use maps prepared by the City, recent aerial photographs, and interviews with City officials and staff. In addition, a field survey was conducted for verification and updating of this information. It should be noted that the Existing Land Use Map represents a snapshot of development patterns as they existed in 2000. 1. Land Use Categories The land use categories, as shown on the Existing Land Use Map (Nlap I-i) are in accordance with the requirements set forth in 9J-5.006 (1) (a), F AC. In addition, several other categories were created to better represent actual land use for certain properties within the City. Table 1-1 shows each land use category and the corresponding amount of developed acreage for each. Acreage tabulations were provided by City staff and aggregated into their respective categories. A definition of each category follows, as well as a brief description of existing conditions. a. Residential Land Use Categories In 2000, there were 2,512 developed residential acres within the City of Edgewater. This category represents almost 36 percent of total lands and 77 percent of all developed lands, and includes single-family, multifamily and mobile home developments. Residential uses are divided into the following categories on the Existing Land Use Map: Agriculture - (up to 1 unit per 2.5 acres) This category is mainly reserved for citrus growers, farmers, ranches, horticulture and similar uses. However, a single-family residence is permissible not exceeding one unit per two and one half acres. Accessory structures and primary agricultural uses may be permitted based upon the appropriate surrounding land uses. The Agricultural land use category is considered a holding land use until adequate public facilities become available for more intense development. Low Density Transition - (1 unit per 2.5 acres to 1 unit per gross acre) This residential category is limited to no more than two units per acre. The Rural Residential land use category is considered a holding land use until adequate public facilities become available for more intense development. Low Density Residential - (1.1 to 5 units per gross acre) This residential category is typically a suburban area dominated by detached single-family homes on quarter-acre lots. This is the predominant land use within the City. 1-6 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Medium Densiry Residential - (5.1 to 8 units per gross acre) This urban scale medium density residential category includes duplex, villa, cluster, townhouse, mobile home, manufactured and multi-family housing at densities between five and eight units per acre. High Densiry Residential - (8.1 to 12 units per gross acre) This residential category typically includes townhouses and multi-family housing at densities between eight and twelve acres. (1) Existing Residential Subdivisions Edgewater Acres is located between Park Avenue and Indian River Boulevard, west of the FEC rail line. This development can be characterized as medium density single-family. The subdivision abuts some light industrial uses to the east and public lands to the west. Just south of Edgewater Acres is the northern section of the Florida Shores Subdivision. Florida Shores extends from Edgewater Acres south to the City limits. Initially platted in the 1950's, this community is the largest development within the City and represents a very large percentage of the residential land within the City of Edgewater. The subdivision has undergone scattered development and is roughly 70 percent developed at present. The Wildwood Subdivision is located off of Park Avenue along the western City limits. This development is a single-family project and is bounded by unincorporated areas to the south, east and west. Edgewater Landing is a new manufactured home subdivision located between US 1 and the Indian River. It consists of approximately 455 lots. Residential development between US 1 and the Indian River can be generally characterized as low and medium density single-family. Those neighborhoods along Riverside Drive are predominantly low density with some medium density neighborhoods separating this area from the commercial corridor along US 1. Between US 1 and the Florida East Coast (FEe) Railroad are predominantly medium density single-family residential areas, interspersed with some higher density residential neighborhoods. Many of these neighborhoods are separated by vacant areas with some industrial and commercial uses located along the railroad. b. Commercial The commercial land use category consists of a variety of retail and office uses; such as, medical facilities, shopping centers, restaurants, automobile service facilities and 1-7 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT similar uses. Typical neighborhood and highway service areas are allowed to build up to a maximum floor area ratio (FAR) of 0.30. Tourist commercial areas can build up to a maximum 0.50 FAR. The majority of commercial development within the City of Edgewater is located along US 1 in a strip pattern. The area contains restaurants, convenience goods stores and neighborhood centers. Another corridor of commercial development which has emerged is adjacent to the FEC Railroad within the Florida Shores Subdivision. In 2000, there were 210 acres of commercially developed lands in the City. These developed lands represent only three percent of the total acreage in Edgewater and 3.7% percent of all developed lands. c. :NIL"{ed Use The purpose for the mL"{ed use land use category and its corresponding zoning districts is to provide for a variety of land uses and intensities within a development site to preserve conservation areas, to reduce public investment in provision of services, to encourage flexible and creative site design and to provide public amenities which provide an area wide benefit to the community. The mixed-use land use category permits low, medium and high density residential; commercial uses (retail and office); light industrial; educational facilities; recreation facilities and compatible public facilities. To ensure that the mixed-use area is of a sufficient size to function as an integrated unit, this designation requires an area that has a minimum of fifteen acres. A mixed use category may be comprised of several parcels under different ownership, as long as the parcels are approved as a unified master plan with legal documents recorded prior to development or redevelopment that tie the parcels together. The master plan must be submitted for approval at the time of rezoning in a mixed-use land use category. The master plan may include multiple phases of development. The requirements for the master plan are identified in the Land Development Code. The intensity of the development within the mixed-use category will vary depending upon location and surrounding uses. Therefore, two zoning districts have been established that allow a mix of uses to satisfy varying degrees of intensity. The two zoning districts are the Community Center (CC) and regional Employment Center (BC). The typical uses and various locations of the two mixed zoning districts shall be allowed based upon the following criteria: Communi(y Center - Located within the City's urban service area at major intersections or along major arterials, this district is intended to serve the residential and non- residential needs of the City's neighborhoods. Developments within this district should balance pedestrian and vehicular comfort, and should be located within the 1-8 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT public transit system service area. Typical uses include shops, personal and business services, grocery stores, restaurants, cinemas, hotels, offices, civic facilities, day care, and residential (single family, apartments/condominiums, elderly housing, residential over commercial, townhouses and duplexes). Employment Center - located within the City's urban service area along major expressways, arterials or collector roadways, and interchange areas where location factors and higher land values tend to attract higher intensity development; and, services and facilities are programmed to accommodate a variety of residential and non-residential land uses. Typical uses include medium to high-density residential, office, commercial and light industrial land uses. The intent of the employment center district is to: (1) Provide an economic benefit in terms of employment opportunities and increased tax base; (2) Locate higher intensity uses where roadway capacity can accommodate increased traffic due to short trip distances to major roadways and increased lane capacity at major intersections; (3) Locate higher intensity uses along major roadways and intersections to reduce development pressures in other areas, thereby minimizing the road congestion and community compatibility impacts; and, (4) Locate higher intensity uses adjacent to hurricane evacuation routes to reduce pressures on local toads during storm events. Alternative modes of transportation are required in the mixed-use category to encourage pedestrian circulation. Tracts of land must be developed as a whole throughout the property to provide continuity among the various land uses and to create a compact and walkable living environment and workplace. Transitional uses are required to protect lower intensity and density uses from higher uses. Building heights must be stepped down adjacent to lower intensity and density uses. d. Industrial The industrial land use category includes both light and heavy industrial uses. The maximum floor area ratio for light and heavy industrial uses is 0.42 FAR. Industrial Planned Unit Developments are permitted to go up to a 0.50 FAR. Industrial lands are located in the northwest and central part of the City along the FEC Railroad and extending westward along Park Avenue. North of Park Avenue there is some heavy industrial development. This industrial activity is part of a large parcel of land currendy zoned as a Industrial Planned Unit Development (IPUD). However, the majority of this property is currendy vacant. 1-9 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT e. Recreation and Open Space This land use category includes park and recreation facilities owned by the City, as well as recreation facilities located at area schools that are under lease to the City. Open space includes those areas deemed worthy of preservation; such as, common open spaces in private developments and significant right-of-way buffers along major roadways and drainage systems. There are almost 92.69 acres of recreational lands identified within the City of Edgewater. The recreational element provides a complete inventory of sites and the facilities provided for these recreation uses. The recreation use category includes lands committed to both active and passive recreational uses. f. Public/Semi-Public The Public/Semi-Public category consists of public facilities and private non-for- profit uses such as churches, schools, and cemeteries. All other public lands and facilities, such as City Hall, post offices, utility sub-stations, water and wastewater treatment plants, fire stations and libraries are also included within this category. This category contains roughly 298 acres, and includes uses such as the airstrip, the water treatment plant near 1-95, school sites, some borrow pits and scattered public service buildings. g. Historical Resources This land use category consists of historic, archaeological and architectural resources within the City. The City is currently in the process of completing a historic survey. Currently, no structures have been identified as historic or listed on the Florida Master Site File. Thirteen archaeological sites located within the City of Edgewater have been included on the Florida Master Site File, as of July 2000. The State Division of Historical Resources maintains a database on each of the sites which has been included in the Housing Element. h. Conservation The conservation designation includes public lands that have been acquired and private land areas that have been reserved by mutual agreement with the property owner for the preservation and protection of Edgewater's natural resources. It is the intent of the City to maintain areas designated as Conservation for preservation of natural ecosystems and passive recreation. Only ancillary structures such as boardwalks, docks, pavilions, tot lots, groundskeepers buildings, maintenance facilities and similar public benefit uses will be permitted. , 1-10 CITY OF EDGEWA TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT 1. Conservation Overlay' The conservation overlay area shown on the Future Land Use Map (pLUM) is intended to protect areas that may potentially contain protected wildlife habitat areas, hydric soils/wetlands, mangrove swamps, estuarine marsh ecotone, freshwater marshes, special vegetative communities. Included within the Conservation Overlay definition are areas within a public water well radius of 500 feet, within the 100 year floodplain, and other areas subject to environmenrnl or topographic constraints. The area designated as conservation overlay on the FLUM is not intended to prevent development, but rather identify sensitive areas that need to be reviewed carefully during the review process to determine whether development should be permitted or if some form of mitigation may be necessary. If the areas are determined not to be sensitive, than the underlying land use development density and/or intensity will be applicable. ). Water/Lakes An additional land use category was created to represent water bodies located within the City of Edgewater. There are roughly 72.9 acres of water bodies and lakes within the City. The majority of the acreage corresponds to the river followed by water bodies located in the Florida Shores subdivision. k. Vacant This category includes vacant, undeveloped and some underdeveloped acreage. This category includes lands that are in subdivisions which are platted, but not over fifty percent developed, as well as lands which currendy have no active uses. There are almost 3,049 vacant/undeveloped acres within the City. The majority of these lands are located in the northwest part of the City near the Daytona Beach Community College; scattered throughout the Florida Shores Subdivision; surrounding Indian River Boulevard; and, south of the intersection of Interstate 95 and Indian River Boulevard. Currendy, the Florida Shores subdivision is roughly 70 percent developed. Therefore, infill development within this project could become a residential issue in the future. There are some additional vacant/undeveloped lands remaining in the southeastern section of the City. In total, roughly 43.7 percent of the 6,971 acres within the City of Edgewater are currendy designated as vacant on the Existing Land Use Map. 2. Natural Resources The presence of natural resources within the City of Edgewater will affect the future land use pattern. The following narrative briefly discusses the natural environment within the City of Edgewater. Much of this information is discussed in greater detail within the Conservation Element. 1-11 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTU RE LAN D USE ELEM ENT a. Climate The City of Edgewater enjoys warm temperatures with an average annual temperature of 710 F. Localized thunderstorms can be intense during the summer season, producing as much as two to three inches in a short period of time. This area of V olusia County enjoys two distinct seasons within climates generally considered subtropical and mild. b. Water Bodies/Estuarine Systems The eastern border of the City of Edgewater lies along the Intracoastal Waterway which is part of the North Indian River. Surface waters in Florida are classified according to Section 17.3 of the Florida Administrative Code. The majority of surface waters in the City of Edgewater are Class III waters suitable for recreation and protection and management of wildlife. However, towards the southern City boundaries are Class II waters where there is shellfish propagation and harvesting. Map 1-2 indicates the water bodies within the City. A more detailed discussion on this subject is found in the Conservation Element. An estuary system is a body of water which is semi-enclosed and has a free connection with the ocean. The North Indian River is an estuary system. This system is the most significant environmental resource in the City. It is also a valuable recreational and aesthetic resource. This part of the Indian River is also known as the Mosquito Lagoon which is an aquatic preserve and an Outstanding Florida Water (OFW). The estuary system plays an important role in Edgewater's ecosystem. This water body acts as a spawning area for many saltwater fish and shellfish. It provides a nursery area for immature fish and shellfish species. c. Wetlands The majority of the wetlands within the City are located on the west side near S.R. 442 and the Interstate. These wetlands are identified as palustrine and include the north end of the pristine Turnbull Hammock. Map 1-3 identifies the general location of wetlands within the City. A conservation overlay has been added to the Future Land Use Map to identify the location of potential wetland habitat and provide protection. There are some limited estuarine wetlands located along the shoreline of the Indian River. A conservation overlay has been included on the Future Land Use Map in this area also to protect the natural resources. There is a very small amount of wetlands within the older areas of the City of Edgewater. These wetland areas exist on sites already approved for development. 1-12 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT d. Flood Zones Flooding of the planning area results primarily from hurricanes. The flood areas have been defined as the lOa-year flood zone. This is the area subject to flooding by hurricanes on a statistical probability that this type of flood will occur at least once in every 100 years. The lOa-year floodplain areas are shown in Map 1-2. The entire shoreline of the lndiail River has been identified within the 100 year floodplain. Additionally, the lands on both sides of Air Park Road and west of the FEC rail line have been identified as potential lOa-year floodplain areas. There are also several areas west of City within' the laO-year floodplain that are typically associated with the location of palustrine wetlands. e. Topography The physiographic features in the City of Edgewater consist of relatively flat lands. Map 1-4 identifies the general topography within Edgewater. The shoreline slopes down to the Indian River, and provides virtually no sandy beach areas. The area does, however, provide a narrow saltwater marsh ecotone area. f. Soils The development potential of land is affected by the types of soils present. Soils that have poor load bearing features or drain poorly will be more difficult and costly to develop. Other soils may not be suitable for certain types of development. Soils in Edgewater are no longer an issue for septic systems, because the City requires connection to central utilities. Soil classifications have been determined for the City of Edgewater by the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) of the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Map 1-5 presents the soil types within the City of Edgewater. Table 1-2 lists all the soil classifications found within the City and includes a brief description of each soil type(s) characteristics. Map 1-6 depicts soils that are suitable for development. The Conservation Element presents a more detailed discussion on this subject. The majority of the hydric soils in the City are located west of the interstate and in the Turnbull Hammock area. Additionally, there are some bands of hydric soils running north and south on the east side of the large Florida Shore single-family residential subdivision. The City has successfully converted the dwellings that were utilizing septic systems in this subdivision to the City's central sanitary system. g. Minerals The only commercially valuable minerals identified within the City of Edgewater are sand and shell. The only mining operations within the City limits have occurred along Indian River Boulevard near Interstate 95. There has been a recent mining permit for an 80 acre parcel north of S.R. 442. 1-13 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT c. LAND USE ANALYSIS This section of the Future Land Use Element summarizes eXlstlng conditions and potential development trends and problems. Included in the analysis will be the availability of urban services such as sewer, solid waste, roadways and the availability of potable water. In addition, there is an analysis of potential limitations imposed by natural resources and man-made constraints. 1. Population Projections Projected population is the driving force behind future facility needs and land requirements. Projected population must be taken into consideration in preparing the Future Land Use Element and the spatial requirements necessary to meet this future growth. Population estimates and projections were prepared by Land Design Innovations, Inc. as part of background information for the Comprehensive Plan. These projections and associated methodologies can be found in the section titled "Population Projections" of this Comprehensive Plan. As can be seen, the estimated 2000 population for the City of Edgewater is 18,865 total residents. By the year 2020, this population is expected to reach 34,481. The projected average rate of population growth for the planning period (2000-2020) is 3.23 percent annually. In 2000, there were approximately 7,822 total housing units in the City of Edgewater. By the year 2010, the number of households is projected to reach over 9,937 based upon projections made by the Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing. The seasonal component in Edgewater is less significant than permanent population. One housing component, mobile homes, had some seasonality in its market. The existing number of seasonal dwelling units is estimated to be 416. By 2010, the number of seasonal units is projected to increase to 535 dwellings. 2. Analysis of Public Facilities Affecting Development It is important to ensure that public facilities and services that are necessary to support development are available current with the impact of development. a. Potable Water All residences and commercial activities within the City limits are served by the City's central water system. The City recently constructed new wellfields and a new state of the art 5.0 MGD (million gallons per day) water treatment plant. The new facilities came on-line in 1993. Additionally, the City has closed the Eastern wellfield to reduce the potential for saltwater intrusion. There have been no additional reports of contamination at any of the well sites. The City currently has 17 wells permitted for consumption and only 10 are active. Map 1-7 identifies the City's 10 active wells and 2 active wellfields. 1-14 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT The City currendy has capacity to provide its adopted level of service for potable water of 100 gallons per capita per day. Based upon the projected population growth for the utility service area, the current water treatment plant's capacity should not be exceeded until sometime between 2015 and 2020. Depending upon the additional capacity of the reclaimed water system the facility may not need to be upgraded during the planning period. The City will have to expand its water storage capacity to maintain its objective to be able to store at least half of the average daily demand before 2020. The City will require adequate new distribution system lines concurrent with new development and redevelopment. b. Sanitary Sewer The facilities for collection, treatment and disposal of wastewater are provided by the City of Edgewater wastewater treatment plant and collection system network. Although the wastewater service area extends beyond the City limits, the actual collection zones for wastewater treatment exclude large sections within the City and overall service area. (See the Sanitary Sewer Sub element and Conservation Element for a more detailed discussion.) Septic tanks provide on-site wastewater treatment for those areas within the City which are outside the collection zones. There are approximately 376 users still on septic systems in various locations throughout the City. The City should limit development in those areas unserved by the central system to low intensity and density land uses, until such time as the collection areas are expanded. The City constructed a new 2.75 MGD wastewater treatment plant in 1993. Additionally, the City has extended its wastewater collection system and successfully accommodated several collection zones that were previously utilizing septic tanks on unsuitable soils. The most notable accomplishment is Florida Shores single family residential subdivision. The retrofit is complete and the City is currendy providing centralized sewer to this subdivision comprised of approximately 6,000 building sites. c. Stormwater Currendy, there are two major stormwater management systems in the City of Edgewater. The Florida Shores system drains an area of approximately 4.8 miles and is made up of five basins. Four of these basins drain into the Indian River while one drains into Turnbull Hammock The Gabardy Canal system drains an area of 2.0 square miles and is made up of two basins, both of which drain into the Indian River. Figure 7 shows the location of the City's two stormwater systems and the approximate location of their divides along with the various drainage basins lying within each system. The area of the City which lies adjacent to the Indian River is presendy handled by a series of culverts, swales, ditches and storm sewers. Data and analysis contained in the Drainage Sub-Element indicate that there are currendy areas where flooding occurs, the most notable is the Florida Shores 1-15 CITY OF EDGEWA TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT subdivision. Additional stormwater facilities development as well as new development. implications for land use decision-making. New development and redevelopment activities are reviewed by the City and the St. Johns River Water Management District (S]RWMD) to ensure that adequate drainage is provided. Level of service standards for drainage will determine whether development will proceed. Older areas will require improvements by the City. A stormwater utility fee was created to fund these improvements and a stormwater master plan is currently being prepared and is expected to be completed by mid 2001. In some cities, drainage problems are severe enough to indicate the need for abandonment of areas impacted by frequent and extensive flooding. This may take the form of moving residents to other areas and tearing down houses. Lands are then used for open space or other activities which are not effected by frequent flooding. Flooding in Edgewater does not represent this type of problem. Most localized flooding is the result of inadequately designed drainage systems, but the flooding is not extensive or threatening. The City's strategy is to improve drainage systems so as to reduce the incidence of periodic flooding. will be required to serve existing However, there are no particular d. Solid Waste The City of Edgewater does not currently have a solid waste disposal facility. Solid waste is collected by the City and then taken to a City-operated transfer station. From the transfer station the solid waste is transported to the Tomoka Landfill, located near Daytona Beach in V olusia County for disposal The existing transfer station and truck fleet have sufficient capacity to serve the City's projected population during the planning period. The county plans to continue operating the landfill for another 25 to 30 years before closure. e. Transportation All of the roadways within the City are currently operating at an adequate level of service. Based upon transportation modeling projections for the year 2020, improvements will be necessary to prevent Park Avenue from dropping below the adopted level of service. The City will also need to review all proposed developments to ensure that the anticipated trips will not drop the level of service for the road network below that necessary for adequate hurricane evacuation (refer to the Transportation and Coastal Elements for further discussion). 3. Analysis of Natural Conditions Affecting Development The ability of land to support development, better known as the carrying capacity, is a major determinant in land use patterns. Other than the Indian River shoreline, Turnbull 1-16 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Hammock, isolated wetlands and 100 year floodplain areas there are relatively few natural constraints to development in Edgewater. Environmental permitting requirements have become much more strict in recent years which should suffice to restrict development in pristine natural areas and preserve wildlife habitats. Additionally, the City has adopted a conservation overlay designation on the Future Land Use Map to identify potential sensitive habitat areas that may be worthy of preservation. a. Natural Groundwater Aquifer Recharge According to the SJRWMD Water Resource Management Plan (phase I) and as stated in the City's Natural Groundwater Aquifer Recharge sub-element, the City of Edgewater lies in an area of generally no recharge to the Floridan Aquifer. At the present time, there have been no areas of prime recharge designated for the City's existing or projected service area. The City has established a program to reclaim water for irrigation purposes to reduce the draw down of groundwater supplies. The City's reclaimed water system has reduced the use of irrigation wells within the City and the system will continue to be expanded to serve new development. b. Flood Prone Areas There are several areas within the City which lie within floodplains. These areas were depicted earlier in Map 1-2. There are basically three large areas within these flood hazard zones, the coastal area along the east side of Riverside Drive, and two areas in the northwest section of the City. In addition, there are several smaller scattered areas within the City. Where possible, development is not recommended within these flood prone areas. Along the coastal floodplain, the Future Land Use Map conservation overlay limits development in undeveloped areas. Within the northwest section of the City, industrial uses north of Park Avenue were kept out of the floodplain area. This area is part of the Turnbull Hammock and should be protected (see Conservation Element for further discussion). Additional lands in floodplains are located west of Interstate 95 and south of S.R. 442 which have been identified in the conservation overlay. Existing land uses on the two parcels east and west of Mango Tree Drive were confined to the northern section with the rem~ining undeveloped areas protected. For these areas, which are currently disturbed, new development should meet the standards as set forth by the HUD Flood Insurance Program. 4. Vacant Land Analysis In analyzing the carrying capacity of vacant land for development, soil maps and various natural resource maps were overlaid with the Existing Land Use Map. Two issues facing the City of Edgewater with regard to these factors include the flood hazard zones, which were discussed above, and soil conditions. Map 1-6 shows the results of soil suitability analysis for 1-17 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT building construction. Table 1-4 provides a vacant land analysis for the City based existing acreage that is not designated as Conservation Overlay. Based upon analysis of the City's conservation and conservation overlay designations, the presence of water bodies, rights-of-way and easements; approximately 20 percent of the total area of the City may not be developable. The exact acreage will be determined as site-' specific environmental impact studies are performed for those properties within the conservation overlay category. 5. Projected Land Use Needs This section of the Future Land Use Element projects the amount of land for different land use categories that will be necessary to accommodate future population growth. The only significant difference between the existing land use categories and the future land use categories is the new Mixed Use land use category. The methodology used to project the future demand for the various land uses was based on the current proportion of land use acreage to population, with the necessary adjustments to address the new Mixed Use land use category. a. Future Residential Land An analysis of residential 'lands within the City of Edgewater was conducted to determine current densities and availability of vacant residential lands. Table 1-3 presents the amount of developable lands by land use category within the City. There are 3,498 acres of residential land shown on the Future Land Use Map of which only 3,300 acres are assumed to be developable. Of this total, roughly 2,460 acres had been developed by 2000. Some of the dwelling units projected for the planning period will be developed in areas which are already committed to residential development. Approximately 30 percent of the existing residential land within the City is estimated to be vacant; this is based upon the large Florida Shores subdivision and other residential developments that are not built-out. The Housing Element presents an analysis of the vacant residential land uses within the City of Edgewater. The element identifies the maximum dwelling units per acre that could be accommodated within certain land use categories. Maximum allowable densities within the City's vacant residential land range between 1 dwelling unit per 2.5 gross acres for single-family to 12 units per gross acre for high density. The Housing Element presents an analysis of the demand for future residential land by housing types and density level, based on current land use categories. Between 2000 and the year 2010, it is estimated that roughly 3,327 new housing units will be needed within the City of Edgewater. This projection includes both permanent and seasonal dwelling units. The demand for specific housing types was based on Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing projections. 1-18 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Examination of recent building permit activity for the years 1990 to 2000 indicated a strong preference for single-family housing. Of the total units permitted between this period, roughly 74 percent were for single-family units. Approximately 3 percent were multi-family and duplex units, and 23 percent were for mobile homes. From this analysis and based on total projected housing units, it is assumed that roughly 3,026 single-family and 301 multi-family additional units will be needed by 2010. The proportion of current acreage of land use categories to population was used to determine projected land use categories. As can be seen in Table 1- 5, future growth will demand approximately 3,854 residential acres. This demand was determined based upon a comparison to the existing number of acres per 1,000 residents for each land use category with modifications for already approved development. Since the projected future demand for residential acreage is 3,854 acres and the Future Land Use Map only indicates 3,300 future developable acres, there may be a need for annexation or increased density to compensate the demand. The typical reactions of the market to the demand for housing are anticipated to close the gap between the additional 554 acres that may be needed, considering the ample supply of vacant land currendy surrounding City. b. Future Commercial Land Use The projected increase in population will result in the need for more commercial development to serve these new residents. In 2000, there were almost 207 developed commercial acres within the City of Edgewater. Projections of future commercial land were based on ratios of acres to population. Based on the 2000 population of 18,865, the ratio was approximately 11 commercial acres per 1,000 population. However, opportunities do exist for infill development and increases in density. The City is pursuing redevelopment opportunities and encouraging economic growth. Additional commercial acreage is also anticipated to develop adjacent to the Interstate 95 interchange, which is a regional opportunity for the City. Therefore, the commercial acres-per-population ratio was projected at 15 commercial acres per 1,000 population to account for this factor. The amount of additional commercial acres necessary to support future growth through the year 2010 is estimated to be an additional 188 acres of developable land. c. Future Industrial Land Use Industrial land use projections were calculated using the same basic methodology as described above for commercial lands. The amount of industrial acreage required to meet future growth is shown in Table 1-5. Currendy, there are almost 213 acres of developed industrial lands within the City of Edgewater. For every 1,000 people, there are 11 industrial acres similar to commercial. Based upon recent annexations and proposals for increased industrial acreage surrounding the airport and FEC railroad line, it is projected that the demand will increase to nearly 20 acres per 1,000 1-19 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT population. Therefore, an additional 315 industrial acres will be required by the year 2010 to meet the demand. d. Future Recreation and Open Space Land Use The Recreation and Open Space Element analyzes in detail the current and future park and open space needs of the City population. The Element concluded that in order to accommodate the projected population and meet the adopted levels of service, the City would have to provide a total of 106 acres of parkland by 2010. Based on population projections, there will be a deficit of 22 acres of parks by 2010. The City presendy is considering several areas. One possibility is the conversion of the 10-acre brownfield currendy owned by the City adjacent to the Coronado Farms site. The Future Land Use Map and Table 1-5 do not show the additional acreage of park land by 2010 due to the fact that its location is not certain a~ this time. e. Future Conservation/Conservation Overlay Land Use These land use categories include those lands which contain valuable and threatened natural resources, such as floodplains, estuarine properties, and unique ecological communities. There are several very noteworthy areas to be considered for possible conservation designations on the Future Land Use Map. They are currendy shown as conservation overlay. The largest area is in the northwest section of the City where there are large tracts of undeveloped land which are ecologically unique. A large hardwood hammock which provides excellent wildlife habitat and passive recreational opportunities is located in this area. This area is also within the 100-year floodplain. Another area that may be suitable for conservation use is along the Indian River shoreline. This area needs to be considered for conservation use because of its unique value as public access to the estuary, for the protection of shoreline vegetation and because it is within the 100-year floodplain. Those areas that are desirable for permanent designation as conservation land uses on the Future Land Use Map should be purchased by the City for preservation or mutual agreements should be pursued with property owners to preserve their resources. Table 1-5 shows that the City assumes that the ratio of conservation and conservation overlay acreage to population will remain constant over the next 10 years. f. Future Public/Semi-Public Facilities Based upon an analysis of existing and future needs, the City anticipates the need to acquire additional land to. accommodate its public facility and service functions as the population increases. Table 1-5 indicates a future demand for an additional 151 acres 1-20 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT by 2010. One site that is currently being evaluated for its potential is the 50-acre Coronado Farms site on SR 442. 6. Need for Redevelopment The City of Edgewater has been developing since 1870. Some of the older structures in the City have begun to show signs of aging and deterioration. The commercial corridor along U.S. Highway 1, in the heart of downtown, has become blighted and vacancies are occurring more frequently. The City recently invested capital into the restoration of the Riverfront which has great potential to tie into the downtown walkable area along Park Avenue. The City needs to pursue alternatives to encourag~ economic investment and redevelopment in this area. A few of the City's residential dwellings are also showing signs of aging. The City is currently working on a historic survey to identify significant structures based on historic events or architecture. Historic reservation guidelines must be maintained in the Land Development Code to ensure that the City's significant historic resources remain intact during redevelopment. Additional design standards should be adopted to' ensure that redevelopment respects the architectural character of significant historic structures in the City. The City also needs to continue to pursue funding to retrofit all development that is utilizing septic systems on unsuitable soils. 7. Inconsistent Land Uses Those uses, or areas which will be made non-conforming by adoption of the Comprehensive Plan will be precluded from either increasing the degree of non-conformity or from development of new non-conforming uses. The intent of this element is to maintain the existing development patterns in the City. This pattern is consistent with the land use objectives and policies of the City. Therefore, current uses that will be inconsistent with the element are minimal. 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C <:J t:: Q)~l.ZlQ) OJ:) o'J:l s:: ~ .... t:: t1 ~ ~ <:J ~ ~ <:J :-9 0... :> 0 <:J ~.t:1 C Q C': <:J <:J OJ:) 0... "'0 .... = en rn C':'2 t:: ~ <:J Q) ~ tJ ; 0... QJ ....- o ~"::J ~ w ~.... cO 2:: t:= 1:l = ~ ~ ~ .Q QJ ~ <:J 'c;: .s o.....gf ~t:<~ ~ Q) 4-< ~Eu50 Q) ~ o....c tS ~ E 0 ~VJ rT' ..s t--4 (J'J ..... = (j ~ f-4 .... .... "" o 'c;: g ::;1 Z..c....o ...........CFJ o o o N U t:: ...... rn~ t:: o 'J:l ~ :> o t:: t::: ...... N N I ...... CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Table 1- 2: Soil Table 3 4 13 14 Arents Nearly level, sandy soils which are made of heterogeneous overburden material removed from other soils. Water table fluctuates between10 and 40 inches below ound surface for 2 to 6 months in most ears. Excessively drained, nearly level to sloping soil as on sand-hills. Water table is always below 80 inches and is usuall below 120 inches. Poorly drained, nearly level sandy soil associated with depressions and poorly defined drainage-ways. Water table is above the surface for several months in most years, and normally within 30 inches except during very eriods. N early level to gendy sloping, somewhat poorly drained sandy soil. Water table is between depths of 15 and 40 inches for about 6 months during most years, and recedes to below40 inches durin weather. N early level, very poorly drained fine sandy loam, with sandy clay loam underlying. Water level is seldom below .10 inches even in dry weather. During rainy seasons, the soil is covered with standing water, as well as after heavy rains in the winter. Nearly level to gendy sloping soil is on low, long, narrow sandy ridges that parallel the Adantic Coast. The water table is below 80 inches. Runoff is slow. Infiltration is ra id. Water and air move throu h the soil ra idl . Moderately well drained, nearly level to gendy sloping sandy soil. Water table is commonly at a depth of 40 to 50 inches for 1 to 4 months during the wet season, and eater than 72 inches durin the er art of the ear. Nearly level, poorly drained soil has a sandy surface layer over a loamy subsoil. Water table fluctuates within 10 inches of the surface for periods of 1 to 4 months in most years and is within 40 inches for more than 6 months. Silty, clayey, or loamy tidal deposits. They are near sea level. The soils have a high water content. Astatula fine sand, o to 8% slopes 8 Basinger' fine sand, depressional Cassia fine sand Chobee fine sandy loam 15 Cocoa sand, 0 to 5% slopes 17 Daytona sand 0-5% slopes 20 Eau Gallie fine sand 28 Hydraquents 1-23 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT 29 32 33 34 36 Immokalee sand Nearly level, poorly drained sandy soil. The water table is within 10 inches of the surface for 1 to 2 months in most years and between 10 and 40 inches more than half the time. Occasionally, in very wet seasons, it rises above the surface for a few da s. Nearly level, poorly drained sandy soil. The water table is within 12 inches of the surface from June to November, and commonly within 40 inches of the surface during the rest of the year except during extended drou hts. Nearly level, poorly drained soil. Water table is within 10 inches of the surface for 3 to 6 months during most years, and in rainy periods the surface is commonly covered with water 2 to 6 inches deep for 7 days to a month. In prolonged dry periods the water table may dro to a de th of 2 to 3 feet. N early level, poorly drained. Water table rises as much as 10 inches above the soil surface in wet periods and continuously saturated within 10 inches of the surface in summer, fall, and winter. Nearly level, poorly drained sandy soil. Under normal conditions, the water table fluctuates to within 10 inches of the surface during the rainy season from June to November. Moderately well drained, nearly level and gently sloping sandy soil. The water table is 40 to 60 inches below the soil surface in wet seasons. It recedes to below 60 inches 111 seasons. Excavations from which soil and geologic material have been removed for use in road construction or for foundations. Those that have been excavated below the normal water table and contain water for 9 months or more each ear are ma ed as water. Poorly drained, nearly level sandy soil. Water table is within a depth of 10 inches for 2 to 6 months in most years and within 30 inches for more than 6 months in most ears. M yakka fine sand Myakka fine sand Dept(~ssional Myakka-St. Johns complex Myakka variant fine soil 37 Orsino fine sand o to 5% slopes 47 Pits 52 Pompano fine sand 1-24 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT 53 54 55 58 60 Pompano-placid complex Nearly level, poorly drained to very poorly drained sandy soils associated with depressions. Water table is less than 6 inches above the soil surface, and is saturated within 10 inches of the surface ill summer, fall, and winter. Frequendy, it is covered with standing water during the wet season. Gendy sloping, moderately well drained sandy soils that have been reworked and shaped by earthmoving equipment. Water table is normally below a depth of 40 inches in most laces. Poorly drained, nearly level sandy soil with a subsoil layer of sandy clay loam at a depth of approximately 2 feet. Water table is within a depth of 10 inches of the soil surface for about 2 to 6 months, and is within 40 inches for about 6 months in most ears. Nearly level satellite soils that have been used for urban development. In undrained areas, the water table is 10 to 40 inches below the soil surface floor 2 to 6 months in most years. Drainage systems have been established in most areas, however, so the water table seldom raises above 40 inches. Poorly drained, nearly level sandy soil. In most years, the water table is within a depth of 10 inches of the soils surface for 1 to 4 months and between 10 to 40 inches for more than 6 months. In rainy seasons, it rises to the surface for brief eriods. Moderately well drained, nearly level to gendy sloping sandy soil. Water table is between 40 to 60 inches during wet seasons. Consists of mixed sandy and shelly material dredged from the Intra-coastal Waterway. The underlying material is organic layers and layers of clayey and sandy estuarine deposits. . Water table is at a depth of about 40 inches at the base of the overburden. Nearly level, poorly drained soil. Water table is within a depth of 10 inches for 2 to 6 months in most years. Nearly level, poorly drained sandy soil associated with broad, poorly defined drainage-ways. Water table is at or near the surface for as much as 6 months in most ears. Quatzipsamments gendy sloping Rivera fine sand Satellite-urban land complex Smyrna fine sand 63 Tavares fine sand 0 to 5% slopes sand 68 Turnbull variant sand 69 Tuscawilla fine sand 72 Valkaria fine sand 1-25 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT 73 Wabasso fine sand Poorly drained, nearly level sandy soil underlain by layers of loamy sands and sandy clay loams. Water table is within a depth of 10 inches for 1 to 4 months and within 40 inches for about 6 months in most ears. Sources: 1980 Soil Survey of Vol usia County, Florida 1987 Planning Department, City of Edgewater Hunter/RS&H, Inc., 1988 1-26 I- Z W 2 W -1 W W (/) :::::J o Z <{ -1 W ~ :::::J I- :::::J LL Z ~<{ -1 ~o... <{W ~> w(/) (jz OW will LL ~ 00... >-2 1-0 UU Q) u C<l "::tCO......lf')No.oo......\OLl)o.< <0r--r--<0C;lf') 0\000"""......... r--oolf')o.olf')oci;~......Z ..q- <0 ...... 5N<000r--\OO\O-r--< N~~~~:;~~~~~""""'Z \0 ..q-...... ............ ........q-N..q-<0CO......Nr--COo.< NO <0""" r--:C; <0 r--O <0 <"J......... O~o.~......O~o\NN<0Z OLl)..q-\Oo...q-Ll)<0\oCOCO <0~ ..q- \0 <0 r-- Ll) N <0 N~ 00 ~ Q) Q) Q) ~ U "'" "'" ... U ~ g g g C<l ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ...... 0 ~ ~<<<<<...... """-; "'" 0 O~~~~~.::-< ......... "'" "'" "'" -.... Z ....................................~~~~~Z ~::I::I ::1-600000 ::1"'0"'0"'0 ",o......Ll)oo~ ...... ~ :c ~ r-- ~ rn o -e = ~ ~ ~ "'" E .. .. \.Li ~ I 1-4 ~ .E ~ r-- 00 0 r-- <0 O~........q- ci;cot"io o.Ll)\oo. ..q-~ ........q- <0 N~ OCO\O...... 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B Eb c:;: ~ C<l c:;: 2:l j:.., 0... <lJ U ::I <lJ 8 <lJ 00 0 o ~ "'0 0.0 ~ ~ ;.s ,.!:l ..... 00 = r-' = = ~.::< c:;: C<l .~ = o..~ "'0 ~ E ~ = 0...... ..... c:':S.-e:f./)~ - '" - ~ ..... <lJ C<l <lJ = 0.0 -6 0.0 C<l C<l...... "'0 g 2:l.~ ~ l> U "'0 ...... <lJ C<l C 0 8 Q)...... o ~ ~ c C/)~~u ~ ~ ~~e~ r--EE~ o ..... <lJ :: z8Sa r-- N 1 ........ CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Table 1- 4: Vacant Land Analysis Residential 2,460.44 3,300.21 839.77 Agriculture 0.00 54.04 54.04 Low Density Transition 9.69 49.32 39.63. Low Density 1,995.81 2,464.14 468.33 Medium Density 439.18 691.73 252.55 High Density 15.76 40.98 25.22 Corrunercial 207.35 354.31 146.96 Mixed Use 0.00 739.72 739.72 Industrial 213.36 562.07 348.71 Public/Semi-Public 244.56 282.38 37.82 Recreation & Open Space 83.29 83.29 0 Vacant 2,362.50 N/A N/A Water/Lakes 72.90 72.90 0 Other (ROW, easements, canals) 468.90 672.76 203.86 Conservation 49.83 71.64 21.81 Conservation Overlay 807.43 831.28 23.85 NOTE: Proposed land acquisition for recreation is not shown on this table. Source: City of Edgewater and Land Design Innovations, Inc. 1-28 I- Z LlJ ~ 'LlJ -I LlJ LlJ V> => o Z <( -I LlJ 0:::: => l- => u.. Z 0::::<( -I ~o... <(W 3=> LlJV> (9Z OW wGj u.. 0:::: 00... >-~ 1-0 UU _~N~{-<joo_N[",-ooC\ "lOt<l-r-;o"\{-<jr-;O{-<jN 0.."t0"\""f_0.."t0"\C'iC'i{-<j OLrl~'-OC\~L{")t<l'-Ooooo "'1 ~'-O {-<jI-LrlN {-<j N~ _0'-0 _00_ .."tC'i0 Lrl Lrl Lrl oo~ {-<j 00~0 r-;C;'-O {-<j_0"\ OO"\{-<j 0"\ I- N~ ["'-~'-O[",-O"\ C;C; 0"\ O"\Lrl L{")_r-..:Ll"'iLrl C\O"\ N 0"\0 {-<j["'-Lrl{-<j- '-CNNOONL{")OOLrl~O ~ _{-<j _{-<jN- 0 - - - o 00 0"\ {-<j '-0 N NO_O"\ ~0Lf)1- OOOLrl {-<j 0 - - oo~O"\O_'-ON{-<j NooO"\O{-<jo"\~"l (-<j000_C'i.."tLf) N _ __ N - - <0 ...... <0 ~ '-" ~OO"\ ~O'-O 000"\ '-0 ~ N~ 00 '-0 LrlO '-0 '-00"\ _r-;~O{-<jLf)N o"\Lf)I-O~.."t~ {-<j_0 _~oo ~ N NN - 00 LI"'i 0"\ O"\~ - "t:l ;:: ~ ~ ..... ;:: ~ () ~ > '"' ..9 "t:l ;:: ~ e QJ (:l "t:l QJ ..... () QJ .0' '"' ~ u ..... 2i ~O ...... .~ c(j to:: H 'n lE'c~ 2 u "0 II) <FJ o 0.. o .. 0.. ~ ~ o .. CJJ u '8 o c o u II) "0 II) U II) '0' .. 0... c o "0 II) "' ~ .D II) .. II) ~ <FJ C o ';:J 0.. E ;:l <FJ -< .; c o "' .. II) . o..~ co C 0\ ~ <')..:::: . u -a .. N II) '0 .s cl.l"l oc( ';:J ...... ~"O ;:l C o..~ o ... 0.... o . o fr u 0'; ~ N <FJ ;:l 0 c 8 c o ~ t:: ~_1--4 g.5So E .- I.I"l 0.. <FJ a5...9 0 co 11)"0 ...... t t:: '0 "0.:3 c t:: "0 .9 o~ t:: ... ~ ~ .... - c .. ::l ~ II) o...o~ o "0 ~ c... II) o II) CJJ 0"'=--0 o"'p.l N'o"", ~ .... 0 c c ~ o ~._ c.....u ~ 0.. OJ II) 0 ... ~~b >0 II) .. "0 Il.l .. OJ U Il.l .. .. '0 ~ :: Z~~ 0"\ N I ...... CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT D. GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND POLICES GOAL 1: To effectively manage the land use pattern in the City to enhance the quality of life for its citizens; promote economic vitality; and, accommodate population and development growth in an environmentally acceptable manner. Objective 1.1: Land Use Categories. The City shall maintain regulations for land use categories and a Future Land Use Map to ensure the coordination of future land uses with existing and adjacent land uses. Policy 1.1.1: The adopted Future Land Use Map shall contain and identify appropriate locations for the following land use categories, as defined in this element. Land Use Categories Agriculture Low Densi Transition Low Densi Residential Medium Densi Residential Hi h Densi Residential Commercial Mixed Use Industrial Recreation and 0 Conservation Conservation Overla Public/Semi-Public Policy 1.1.2: Policy 1.1.3: Policy 1.1.4: oss acre and 0.5 floor area ratio Density/Intensity. The City shall adopt maXlffium densities and intensities for each land use category which encourage economic development while protecting the natural environment as indicated in the above table. Zoning Districts. The City shall maintain an adopted zoning matrL'C which shall establish zoning districts that correspond to specific land use categories. The matrix shall further define allowable densities and intensities in each zoning district. Innovative Design. The City shall encourage innovative land use development techniques (including procedures for mL'Ced use planned unit development and cluster development), as further specified in the data and analysis of this Element. 1-30 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.1.5: Policy 1.1.6: Policy 1.1.7: Policy 1.1.8: Housing. The Future Land Use Map shall contain an adequate diversity of lands for residential uses to meet the future demand for residential densities identified in the Housing Element. Density Bonus. The land development regulations may also provide for up to twenty-five percent increase in permitted residential densities for mixed use planned unit developments. Specific standards and procedures for allowing such increases shall be included in the land development regulations. The land development regulations may provide for up to a twenty-five percent increase in the maximum permitted intensity of commercial or industrial development where exceptional provisions are made for buffers, landscaping, open space, and protection of existing native trees. Provision of such additional amenities shall be in addition to minimum reqUltements. Recreation and Open Space. Public or private lands may be designated as recreation and open space. If the facility is not resourced- based, a maximum of 25% impervious area shall be allowed in areas designated as Recreation and Open Space to ensure their protection, proper development and future public use and benefit. Urban infill areas may have development exceptions. Development in this land use category should be in the public interest. Conservation and Conservation Overlay. Properties that are designated as Conservation Overlay areas may potentially contain wildlife habitat areas, hydric soils/wetlands (as defined in the Conservation Element), mangrove swamps, estuarine marsh ecotone, freshwater marshes, special vegetative communities, areas within a public water well radii of 500 feet, 100 year floodplain areas, and other areas subject to environmental or topographic constraints. Conservation Overlay areas are subject to the following conditions for approval: . A final determination of the suitability for development of any individual parcel, as it relates to a Conservation Overlay area on the Future Land Use Map, shall be determined prior to issuance of any development approval. . The Conservation Overlay area on the Future Land Use Map is not to be considered the exact boundary of the conservation area, but to act as an indicator of a potential conservation area. The 1-31 CITY OF EDGEWA TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT . exact boundary shall be determined by a qualified professional on a case by case basis at the expense of the Developer. The conservation overlay area is not all inclusive and other areas that do not fall within the boundaries that meet the definition of conservation areas are also subject to the regulations affecting them. Development approval will be subject to an Environmental Impact Study as to the extent of the impact of development or redevelopment for any lands within Conservation Overlay areas. If an area within the Conservation Overlay area is determined to be developable and all mitigation requirements have been met, then the underlying land use on the Future Land Use Map will apply. Any property in a Conservation Overlay area is required to undergo the planned unit development procedure which includes site specific plan approval and the clustering of density to protect these areas. Principal permitted structures may not be located in any mangrove swamp, estuarine marsh ecotone, or freshwater marsh. Access for recreation will be permitted by the City on a limited basis. Efforts should be made to protect wetlands, if feasible. Otherwise, appropriate mitigation is required. Natural resources that are discovered as a result of a required Environmental Impact Study will be protected. The Environmental Impact Study will require that a qualified professional analyze the natural functions of eco-systems and connectivity of resource corridors. A conservation land use designation or a conservation easement will be required to protect the functions of natural resources. Mitigation may be allowed on a case by case basis through the appropriate reviewing agenCies. A change from conservation overlay to a conservation land use designation will not require State approval if the area is already shown as conservation overlay on the Future Land Use Map. Conservation land use and land use categories that have Conservation Overlay areas may be allowed to transfer development densities/intensities (up to 1 unit per 10 acres for residential or the gross floor area density for non-residential development) to other areas or land uses of the site that are determined not to have natural resources. . . . . . . . . 1-32 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT . Sites that are determined to be comprised of more than thirty (30) percent natural resources will be required to provide additional performance standards to allow the transfer of developments densities/intensities, such as increased landscaping, stormwater design amenities, reclaimed water usage, conservation devices, etc. All applicable land development regulations must be met to transfer development rights, including twenty (20) percent open space and minimum pervious surface requirements. . Policy 1.1.9: Mixed Use The mixed use land use category permits low, medium and high density residential development; commercial uses (retail and office); light industrial; educational facilities; recreation facilities; and , compatible public facilities. The following restrictions are applicable to all mixed use developments: . A minimum of fifteen acres is required for the mixed use land use category designation. . The only zoning districts permitted in the Mixed Use Land Use Categories are planned developments, including community center and employment center districts. . The City currently has an abundance of single-family residential land and limited commercial and light industrial uses. To encourage a variety of uses within the mixed use district, the community center and employment center districts will limit the percentage of anyone type of use in the district, as follows: Commllnity Center - The maximum amount of residential will be 60% of the site. The maximum amount of commercial uses (office and retail) will be 75% of the site. The maximum amount of light industrial will be 75% of the site. The maximum amount of educational and public facilities will be 60% of the site. Empk?Jment Center - The maximum amount of residential will be 40% of the site. The maximum amount of commercial uses (office and retail) will be 80% of the site. The ma....umum amount of light industrial will be 80% of the site. The maximum amount of educational and public facilities will be 40% of the site. 1-33 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT . Mixed use land use categories tllilt have conservation overlay areas may be allowed to transfer development densities/intensities (up to 1 unit per 10 acres for residential or the gross floor area density for non-residential development) from sensitive natural resource locations to upland areas of the site that are determined not to have natural resources. Sites that are determined to be comprised of more than thirty (30) percent natural resources will require additional performance standards to allow the transfer of development densities/intensities, such as increased landscaping, stormwater design amenities, reclaimed water usage, conservation devices, and transitional uses for compatibility with adjacent land uses. The transference of development rights to upland portions of the site will not negate the City's land development regulations. All regulations must still be met to transfer development rights, including 20 percent open space and minimum pervious surface requirements. . . Objective 1.2: Natural Resource Protection. The City shall maintain land development regulations that protect natural resources (such as, groundwater, surface water, floodplains, wildlife habitat, wetlands and other vegetative communities) from the impact of development. Additionally, the City will prevent development in areas tllilt have inadequate soils, topography or other constraints to protect public health and welfare. Policy 1.2.1: Policy 1.2.2: Policy 1.2.3: Policy 1.2.4: As of the year 2000, the City will no longer permit the use of septic tanks within the City to prevent potential soil and groundwater contamination. When financially feasible, the City shall extend central sewer service to all developed properties within the current City limits. The City will also coordinate with the County to limit septic tank permits. All previously developed properties must connect to central sewer when it becomes available within 500 feet of the property and/or structure. The City shall continue to pursue funding to retrofit all development that is utilizing septic systems on unsuitable soils. Industrial and commercial land uses that produce hazardous wastes and any other land use determined by the City to be potentially detrimental shall be prohibited within 500 feet of all public potable water well radii. 1-34 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.2.5: Policy 1.2.6: Policy 1.2.7: Policy 1.2.8: Policy 1.2.9: Policy 1.2.10: Policy 1.2.11: The City shall maintain a floodplain management ordinance which includes the development standards required for participation in the National Flood Insurance Program. Furthermore, the ordinance shall require that new construction or substantial improvement of any structure have the lowest floor elevated to one foot above the established lOO-year flood elevation without the use of fill. The City shall use the conservation overlay on the Future Land Use Map and required Environmental Impact Study's to protect the natural functions of the floodplains in the City and adjacent jurisdictions. Additional performance standards will be required for development sites that are determined through the Environmental Impact Study to have floodplains, such as vegetative buffers, additional setbacks, and clustered development away from the floodplains areas. The City shall support the prohibition of development on the mangrove and spoil islands located within the Indian River/ Mosquito Lagoon estuary. The City shall maintain stormwater management requirements in the Land Development Code which provide specific standards for the design of on-site stormwater systems, as well as strategies and measures to minimize runoff into the Indian River Lagoon. No development orders shall be issued unless the proposed development is determined to be in compliance with the City's Stormwater Master Plan. The City shall utilize the natural vegetative map, USGS, Soil Conservation Service and the Hydric Soils of Florida Handbook to identify properties which have potential development constraints based upon hydric soils, wetland vegetation, flood hazard potential or other topographic constraints, and, if necessary, require an Environmental Impact Study. Objective 1.3: Concurrency. The City shall ensure that future development is provided essential services and facilities at acceptable standards by incorporating the following policies into the site plan review process and the City's concurrency management system. 1-35 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.3.1: Policy 1.3.2: Policy 1.3.3: The City shall review all development and redevelopment proposals to determine their specific impacts on current Levels of Service (LOS) for all services and facilities addressed in this Comprehensive Plan. If a proposed development will result in a degradation of the adopted LOS, then a development order will be denied unless it can be demonstrated that sufficient improvements will be in place concurrent with the impacts of such development to maintain the adopted minimum LOS standard. The City will continue to seek fiscal resources to extend City service areas, expand water and wastewater collection zones, improve City roadways, and make other improvements necessary to accommodate growth and maintain services and facilities at adopted standards. Objective 1.4: Discourage Urban Sprawl and Encourage Redevelopment. The City will maintain regulations and procedures in the Land Development Code to limit the proliferation of urban sprawl and encourage redevelopment and revitalization of blighted areas. Policy 1.4.1: Policy 1.4.2: Policy 1.4.3: Policy 1.4.4: Policy 1.4.5: The City will limit land development activities outside of the adopted Utility Service Area boundary to encourage infill and ensure the availability of services and facilities to accommodate development. Intensive development proposed for areas outside the established utility service area shall be discouraged unless it can be demonstrated that such development will be adequately served by alternative service delivery systems. If necessary, the City may reduce limitations on infill and redevelopment activities consistent with the land uses and densities indicated in this plan in situations that will not jeopardize public health, safety or welfare. By 2002, the City shall evaluate the US Highway 1 corridor and the Park Avenue corridor to develop a plan for revitalization. The plan shall identify land uses and densities to be permitted, including density bonuses, and will address traffic circulation (both on-site and off-site), landscaping and open spaces, sign controls, and buffers for contiguous residential areas. If blighted or otherwise deteriorated areas develop within the City, the areas shall be targeted for special consideration through a redevelopment 1-36 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT plan and the City shall pursue available federal, state, county and local funds for redevelopment. Objective 1.5: Land Use Compatibility. Future development must be consistent with the adopted Future Land Use Map and existing incompatible uses shall not be allowed to expand and shall be eliminated, when feasible. Policy 1.5.1: Policy 1.5.2: Policy 1.5.3: Policy 1.5.4: Policy 1.5.5: Policy 1.5.6: Proposed land use amendments which are inconsistent with the character of the community or inconsistent with adjacent future land uses shall not be approved by the City, unless the adjacent future land uses can be shown to be inconsistent. The City's land development regulations shall contain provisions that prohibit the repair or rehabilitation of an inconsistent structure that is abandoned or damaged beyond 50 percent of its appraised value and require demolition of the structure. Redevelopment of the property will only be allowed if it is consistent with the Future Land Use Map. Intensive commercial land uses over 100,000 gross square feet shall be prohibited within established residential areas. Such uses shall be located at intersections of arterial roads or at intersections of an arterial and a major collector road. Such uses may also be considered as appropriate along US #1 where the use is part of a mixed use development appropriately buffered from adjacent older residential areas. Smaller commercial retail uses (including convenience stores) shall be located along arterial or major collector roads, but must be integrated in terms of traffic flow with adjacent development and buffered from single family uses. Intensive commercial and industrial land uses shall be buffered from low- density residential areas. This will be accomplished by locating less intensive transitional uses in between, or by visual buffering with berms, trees, or other methods to be included in the land development code as deemed appropriate by the City. Higher density residential development shall be designated for areas adjacent to more intensive land uses such as commercial and light industrial Where feasible, visual buffering shall be utilized to reduce any negative effects on the residents of such development. The City shall maintain a Landscape Ordinance that requires adequate buffering between transitional uses. 1-37 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.5.7: Policy 1.5.8: The City shall maintain site design requirements and subdivision regulations in the Land Development Code which adequately address the impacts of new development on adjacent properties in all land use categories and zoning districts. The City's land development regulations shall limit signage which can be viewed from residential property and restrict the location of signs which interfere with traffic flow and sight distance. Objective 1.6: Transportation/Land Use Compatibility. The City will ensure that population densities, housing types, employment patterns, and land uses are consistent with the City's transportation network. Policy 1.6.1: Policy 1.6.2: Policy 1.6.3: Policy 1.6.4 Policy 1.6.5 Curb cuts and points of access to the traffic circulation system shall be Il11niml7.ed. Shared driveways and cross access between adjacent properties shall be encouraged. Proposed transportation improvements shall be consistent with the land use patterns on the Future Land Use Map. Land uses that may generate high traffic counts shall be encouraged to locate adjacent to arterial roads and mass transit systems. The City shall require an adequate quantity of on-site parking to accommodate land uses. Objective 1.7: Adjacent Jurisdictions. The City shall promote compatibility of adjacent land uses with Volusia County and the neighboring cities of New Smyrna Beach and Oak Hill. Policy 1.7.1: Policy 1.7.2: Policy 1.7.3: When reviewing land use amendments, the City shall consider the existing and proposed land uses in any jurisdictions that are adjacent to the proposed amendment. By 2001, enter into a Joint Planning Area agreement with V olusia County to control the timing of urban expansion. Continue intergovernmental coordination through associated technical committees with neighboring jurisdictions, such as the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MFO), V olusia Council of Governments (YCOG) and the V olusia Growth Management Commission. 1-38 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Objective 1.8: Annexation. The City shall pursue a policy of annexation which will provide for the most efficient use of public facilities and services, eliminate areas of jurisdictional problems, and provide for sound growth and development of the City and surrounding area. Policy 1.8.1: Policy 1.8.2: Policy 1.8.3: The City shall pursue an interlocal agreement with V olusia County regarding a future joint planning area, future annexation boundaries and a matrix of compatible County and City land uses. In order to reduce land use conflicts and for efficient public service provision, the City shall investigate and, where feasible, annex all enclaves as soon as possible. New development proposed within the County in areas that are contiguous to the City shall be annexed into the City and developed to City standards as a condition for the extension of public utilities. Objective 1.9: Historic and Archeological Sites. The City shall identify, designate and protect historically significant housing and significant archeological sites. Policy 1.9.1: Policy 1.9.2: Policy 1.9.3: Policy 1.9.4: The City will protect and preserve its historic sites and properties, buildings, artifacts treasure troves and objects of antiquity which have scientific or historic value, or are of interest to the public. Development shall be prohibited which alters or damages any site or building determined to be historically significant that is designated on the register of historically significant property maintained by the State of Florida. By 2004, the City shall establish more restrictive standards for historic preservation in the Code of Ordinances to ensure the protection of historically significant cultural sites and historic structures from development or redevelopment. By 2003, the City shall prepare a study of historic and archeological sites. It any are identified, the City shall maintain a database that identifies the location of potential archeological and historic sites and review all future development and redevelopment to prevent any negative impact to these sites. Objective 1.10: Public Utilities. The City will maintain land development regulations and procedures which will require provision of land for utility facilities necessary to support 1-39 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT development and will limit land development activities when such land for utility facilities is not available, as specified in the following policies: Policy 1.10.1: Policy 1.10.2: Proposed development shall be reviewed in relation to existing and projected utility systems and any land needs of these systems; such as, water and sewer plants; transmission corridors for electric and other utilities; easements for maintenance; and, other requirements. No development orders shall be issued unless it can be demonstrated that the land required by utility systems serving the City will be preserved. Objective 1.11: Public Schools. The City shall implement standards for the siting of public schools to increase the quality of life and local educational opportunities for its citizens. Policy 1.11.1: Policy 1.11.2: Policy 1.11.3: Policy 1.11.4: Policy 1.11.5: Policy 1.11.6: Public schools shall be allowed in all future land use designations except Conservation and possibly Conservation Overlay areas. By 2001, Public Schools shall be listed in the Land Development Code as uses allowed in all zoning districts with the exception of the Conservation (CN), Residential Professional (RP), Mobile Home Park (MH-1) and Heavy Industrial (1-2) zoning districts. New school sites should not adjoin a railroad or airport; and must not be adjacent to any noxious industrial uses or other property from which noise, vibration, odors, dust, toxic materials or other disturbances would have a negative impact. New schools should fnln1mt7.e detrimental impacts on residential neighborhoods, hospitals, nursing homes and similar useS through proper site location, configuration, design layout, access, parking, traffic controls and buffers. The size of new school facilities and land areas should satisfy the minimum standards established by the School Board of V olusia County, whenever possible. New school sites should be well drained and education buildings should be located away from floodplains, wetlands, and other environmentally sensitive lands. Education facilities should not have an adverse impact on historic or archaeological resources. Public utilities, as well as police and fire protection should be available concurrently with the construction of new school sites. 1-40 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.11.7: Policy 1.11.8: Policy 1.11.9: New school sites should have frontage on or direct access to a collector or arterial road and should have suitable ingress and egress for pedestrians, bicycles, cars, buses, service vehicles, and emergency vehicles. To the extent possible, during pre-development program planning and school site selection activities, the City shall coordinate with the School Board of V olusia County to collocate public facilities, such as parks, libraries, and community centers, with schools. Portions of new schools, in accordance with the recommendations of the V olusia County Emergency Management Department, should be constructed to serve adequately as emergency shelters in case of natural disasters. Objective 1.12: Evacuation. The City will control future density and intensity in areas subject to coastal flooding to protect the safety, health and welfare of the citizens of Edgewater. Policy 1.12.1: Policy 1.12.2: Policy 1.12.3: Policy 1.12.4: Policy 1.12.5: Coordinate land use density and intensity in areas subject to coastal flooding with the East Central Florida Regional Planning Council and the V olusia County Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan (CEMP). The City will maintain a Disaster Preparation, Response and Recovery Plan that sets forth the planning and procedures for evacuation and coordinates with county, state and federal efforts. Land use amendments and zoning changes that will increase the density or intensity of uses in area subject to coastal flooding are required to submit proof of acceptable hurricane evacuation time. Increased development will not be allowed in areas that do not meet standards for hurricane evacuation time. The City of Edgewater will maintain post disaster recovery procedures in the Disaster Preparation, Response and Recovery Plan. Objective 1.13: Dredge Spoil. Since Edgewater is located within the coastal area, the City shall designate adequate sites for dredge spoil disposal Policy 1.13.1: The City will continue to support the efforts of the Florida Inland Navigational District to develop a spoil site on a large tract of land north of Park Avenue. 1-41 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE ELEMENT Policy 1.13.2: Coordination with the navigation and inlet districts and other applicable agencies will continue to ensure that adequate sites have been reserved for dredge spoil disposal to meet the future needs of the State. Policy 1.13.3: The City shall require an Environmental Impact Study for all sites proposed for dredge spoil disposal. Policy 1.13.4: Sites selected for dredge spoil disposal must be financially feasible; provide adequate access; and, have adequate utilities and buffers. 1-42 CITY OF EOGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS DECEMBER 2000 Prepared for: City of Edgewater Planning Department 104 North Riverside Drive Edgewater, Florida 32132 Prepared by: Land Design Innovations, Inc. 151 Lookout Place, Suite 200 Maitland, Florida 32751 (407) 975-1273 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS TABLE OF CONTENTS Historic Population Trends 1960-1990 ............................................................................ .............................. 1 Recent Population Trends 1990-2000 .......................................................... ................ .................................. 2 Proj ected Population.................. ..................................... ......... .................................. ....................................... 3 Seasonal Population - Estimates and Projections....................................................................................... 11 Population by Age and Income..................................... ..... .................. ......................................................... 12 Recommended P opula tion Forecast.................................................................................................... ......... 14 P-i CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS LIST OF TABLES Table P-l. City of Edgewater and V olusia County Historic Population Growth .................................. 2 Table P-2. Evaluation of Alternative Forecasts ........................................................................................... 6 Table P-3. Existing and Future Residential Acreage................................................................................. 10 Table P-4. City of Edgewater Building Pennits......................................................................................... 11 Table P-S. Seasonal Housing Units by Type of Unit................................................................................ 11 . Table P-6. Seasonal Population Projections ............................................ .............................................. ..... 12 Table P-7. Population Projections By Age ............................................................;.................................... 13 Table P -8. Household Income by Tenure .................................................. .............. .................................. 13 Table P-9. Recommended Population F ore cast ........................................................................................ 14 LIST OF FIGURES Figure P-1. Historic Population Trend Forecasts ....................................................................................... 7 Figure P - 2. Shift-Share Forecasts......... .............. ..... ............... .... ..................... ........................ ....................... 8 P-u CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS In order to plan for the future needs of the residents of Edgewater, it is important to define the demographics and how the population trends are anticipated to change over time. The historic, present and future demographic compositions of the City are described in this section. Population estimates and projections are required for each locality submitting comprehensive plans in compliance with Chapter 163 of the Florida Statutes and Chapter 9]-5 Florida Administrative Code. These estimates and projections are essential for the various elements which comprise the Comprehensive Plan, including; land use, housing and the various infrastructure related elements. Estimates and projections have been made using approved Florida Department of Community Affairs data sources and projection methods. HISTORIC POPULATION TRENDS 1960-1990 The City of Edgewater has benefited from being located in relatively fast growing V olusia County and the Daytona Beach Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA). In addition, Edgewater is located on a major thoroughfare connecting tourist destinations and along the pristine Indian River shoreline. The City has demonstrated a consistent record of significant growth since 1960. Almost 1,300 residents were added between the 1960 and 1970 census counts, reflecting a 63 percent increase. The City grew by 871 residents between 1970-1975, a 26 percent rise. By 1980, there were 6,726 residents in Edgewater. The net change between 1975 and 1980 was 2,507 or an impressive sixty percent. By 1980, the community had 2.6 percent of V olusia County's resident population compared to 1.64 percent in 1960 and 1.98 percent in 1970. Edgewater's rate of growth in percentage terms was generally two to three times the rate of growth for V olusia County during the 1970's. Of cOUFse, the City's base population is much lower than that of the County; nevertheless, Edgewater's growth since 1960 has been significant. The rate of growth for Edgewater increased rapidly during the 1980's. Edgewater increased its resident population to 9,996 in 1985 for a net increase of 3,270, or 48 percent over 1980. Edgewater grew impressively, especially between 1985 and 1986, by adding over 1,000 year round residents. The City's share of the V olusia County population increased from 2.6 percent in 1980 to 3.26 percent in 1985. Between 1980 and 1990, the City had increased by an impressive 128 percent with over 15,337 residents. The City had steadily increased its share of the County's population since 1960. By 1990, the City had grown to capture over 4.1 percent of Vol usia County's total population. December 2000 P -1 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS RECENT POPULATION TRENDS 1990-2000 Between 1990 and 2000, the population increased but only by 23 percent; bringing the total population count to 18,865 residents. This indicates that the population is beginning to stabilize. However, Edgewater's share of the County's population has continued to increase to an estimated 4.4 percent by 2000. The total change since 1960 is estimated to be an additional 16,814 individuals or an astounding 819.8% increase during the forty year period (1960-2000). Several growth factors have influenced the population increase that has occurred in the City since the 1960's. TABLE P-1. CiTY OF EDGEWATER AND VOLUSIA COUNTY HISTORIC POPULATION GROWTH V olusia Year Edgewater Net Chan!?e Percent Change County City to County 1960 2,051 125,319 1.6% 1965 2,700 649 24.04% 159,100 1.7% 1970 3,348 1,297 19.35% 169,487 2.0% 1975 4,219 871 20.64% 218,900 1.9% 1980 6,726 2,507 37.27% 258,712 2.6% 1985 9,996 3,270 32.71% 308,396 3.2% 1990 15,337 5,341 34.82% 370,737 4.1% 1995 17,484 2,147 12.28% 402,970 4.3% 1998 18,255 771 4.22% 420,431 4.3% 1999 18,507 252 1.36% 426,815 4.3% 2000 18,865 358 1.90% 433,400 4.4% 1960 to 1970 1,297 63.24% 1970 to 1980 3,378 100.90% 1980 to 1990 8,611 128.03% 1990 to 2000 3,528 23.00% Total Change 16,814 819.80% Average Annual Change 420 5.85% Source: The 1990 U.S. Bureau of the Census; University of Florida, Bureau of Business and Economic Research; and, the City of Edge water. Note: The City's 1965 population is an estimate. December 2000 P-2 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS PROJECTED POPULATION Alternative population forecasts for Edgewater to the year 2020 were performed using curve fitting/ extrapolation techniques. The techniques were then applied to separate approaches, one based upon the City historic data and the second approach was based upon the City's share of V olusia County's historic growth. Curve Fitting/Extrapolation Techniques Curve fitting/extrapolation techniques rely on mathematical formulas to project growth (or decline) trends, as revealed by historic population data, into the future. Three types of extrapolation techniques were used to forecast the City's population: Linear -linear projections forecast a constant rate of population growth (or decline) in terms of additional (or fewer) residents; as a result, the relative population change, in terms of percentage increase (or decrease). diminishes over time; Geometric - geometric projections forecast a constant relative increase in population over time; as a result, the absolute population increase (or decrease), in terms of additional residents, increases over time; and Parabolic - parabolic projections tend to forecast population growth (or decline) at an increasing rate over time, both in absolute and relative terms; as a result, the parabolic technique usually produces a significantly higher net change in population than the geometric or linear techniques. Approach I-Historic Population Trend Forecasts The results of the historic population forecasts using the three techniques are shown in Table P-2. As shown in the table and Figure P-1, the horizon year (2020) forecasts vary from a low of approximately 27,818 using the linear technique to a high of approximately 77,567 using the geometric technique. Use of the parabolic technique resulted in a forecast of approximately 40,307. Figure P-1 includes a graphical depiction of the population forecasts using each of the three methods. Historic actual population data are graphed for comparison purposes. Approach 2- Shift-Share Forecasts A variation on the historic population trend forecast approach, the shift-share approach, was performed using the three extrapolation techniques identified above. Rather than forecasting population for a given area using historic population data, the shift-share approach assumes that the growth of a community is directly related to the growth of a region. This approach forecasts a community's share of the region's growth into the future using historic population share rates. The forecasted share rates are applied to the region's forecasted population to derive the community's . future population. For Edgewater's population projections, it was assumed that growth in the City is a function of growth in V olusia County. Therefore, Edgewater's historic share of the County's population was December 2000 P-3 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS forecasted using the linear, geometric and parabolic techniques. Medium population forecasts developed by the Bureau of Economic and Business Research for V olusia County were used to derive Edgewater's projected population. The results of population forecasts using the shift-share approach are summarized in Table P-2. This table includes forecasts of Edgewater's share of V olusia County's forecasted population, BEBR's medium forecast for the County and Edgewater's forecasted population, which is derived by multiplying the forecasted share by the County population. As Table P-2 shows, use of the shift- share approach results in 2020 forecasts that vary from approximately 34,481 using the linear technique, to 41,871 and 48,090 using the parabolic and geometric techniques, respectively. These forecasts are graphically depicted in this section in Figure P-2, along with historic population data for comparison. Evaluation of Forecasts The six alternative forecast scenarios for Edgewater's 2020 population were evaluated to determine the most likely forecast. Each forecast was evaluated based upon the following characteristics. Evaluation Statistics The appropriateness of each extrapolation technique, from a mathematical perspective, can be determined using evaluation statistics. Evaluation statistics measure the extent to which a given extrapolation technique corresponds to the historic population data. Two evaluation statistics were used to evaluate Edgewater's population projections: Coefficient 0/ Relative Variation (CRVJ - the CRV is an input evaluation statistic. As such, it compares the underlying trends in the historic data to the assumed trend for each extrapolation technique. The more closely the extrapolation technique matches the historic data, the lower the CRV. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (1vfAPE) - The MAPE is an output evaluation statistic. The MAPE compares the underlying trends in the historic data to the forecasted trend for each extrapolation technique. The more closely the forecasted trend of a given extrapolation technique matches the historic pattern, the lower the MAPE. December 2000 P-4 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS Other Evaluation Characteristics The input and output evaluation statistics described above measure the ability of each extrapolation technique to match and project the mathematical trend evident in the historic data. Based on these criteria, the most favorable extrapolation technique is the one that most accurately projects an historic trend into the future. Of course, the statistics are purely mathematical in nature and do not take into account other factors. For example, if a rapidly developing community has developed most of its residential land, then it will certainly not experience the same amount of growth in the future, neither in absolute nor relative terms. Almost always, developing communities experience a slowdown in growth, at least in relative terms, prior to the initial "boom." Further, some communities may implement policies to manage the magnitude, nature and timing of growth. In light of the inherent inability of evaluation statistics to take these external factors into account, an additional set of evaluation characteristics were developed for each alternative forecast. These characteristics serve as a reasonableness check to balance the forecasted trends with rational expectations about how Edgewater will likely grow. They include: Total population change - the 2020 population forecast for each extrapolation technique was compared to existing (2000) population estimates to determine the total population change, both in absolute and relative terms. This characteristic measures the total magnitude of change for each forecast. Average annual growth rate - the average annual (compound) growth rate between the 2000 population estimate and 2020 forecast was calculated for each extrapolation technique. This number was compared to the historic annual average growth rate for the City between 1960 and 2000, which is 5.85 percent. Gross residential den~ity - the gross residential density in the City was calculated to determine the reasonableness of each forecast to the amount of vacant residential land in the City. Gross residential density, in terms of persons per square mile, was calculated by dividing the 2020 population forecast by the amount of land designated for residential use in the Future Land Use Element (FLUE) of the City's comprehensive plan. Building Permits - the actual number of building permits issued within the City between the years 1990. and 2000 was compared to the average annual number of permits that would need to be issued for each extrapolation technique. 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HISTORIC POPULATION TREND FORECASTS December 2000 P-7 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS FIGURE P-2. SHIFT-SHARE FORECASTS December 2000 P-8 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS Evaluation Results Evaluation characteristics for each forecast are summarized in Table P-2, including the input and output evaluation statistics. As this table shows, the forecast with the lowest coefficient of relative variation (CRV) is the one that is based on the geometric historic population trend ftrecast. The CRV varies from 0.48 for the geometric historic population trend forecast to 38.56 for the parabolic historic population trend forecast. Both parabolic forecasts had CRV evaluation statistics that were high enough to render them suspect and probably unusable. An examination of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) reveals that the parabolic shift-share ftrecast is more accurate in projecting the historic trend than the bther extrapolation techniques. The MAPE for the parabolic shift-share forecast is 7.41, while the MAPE for the other forecasts ranges from 7.46 for the geometric shift share forecasts to 16.90 for the linear historic population trend ftrecast. Total Population Change (2000 - 2020) The forecasted population change over the 20-year period varies significandy across the six extrapolation techniques. As Table P-2 shows, the projected net increase in population varies from a low of approximately 8,953 residents (47 percent) using the linear historic population trend forecast to a high of approximately 58,702 residents (311 percent) using the geometric historic population trend forecast, which would triple Edgewater's population. Given the amount of approved development and vacant developable land within and surrounding Edgewater, coupled with its increased accessibility and continued attractiveness as a coastal community, it is highly likely that the City will experience much greater than a net 47 percent growth rate over the next 20 years, rendering the linear historic trend forecast unreasonable. The geometric historic population trend forecast, which projects the City to more than triple by 2020, represents a high-end forecast. However, due to the fact that City has annexed a large amount of vacant land and additional land is anticipated to annex, the geometric historic population trend forecast is not completely unrealistic. Annual Average Growth Rate (2000 - 2020) In generaL developing small town communities such as Edgewater are anticipated to experience a slower growth rate over time unless special circumstances are added to the equation, such as new employment opportunities, special attractions or increased accessibility. In Edgewater's situation, it is important to recognize the circumstances that are anticipated to affect future growth, such as the following: 1) Land available for growth to the west of the City; 2) The increased industrial development and employment opportunities related to Massey Air Park; 3) The City's recent investment in state of the art water and sewer infrastructure; 4) The City's investment in recreation and redevelopment of the Indian River shoreline; 5) The anticipated expansion of the Daytona Beach Community College campus; and 6) The City's proximity to the Interstate 95 interchange. . December 2000 P - 9 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS The City has experienced an average annual growth rate of 5.85 percent between 1960 and 2000. The geometni: shift-share forecast, at 5.05 percent, produces an average annual growth rate that most closely relates to what has occurred in the past. The geometric historic population trend jorecast, at 7.73 percent, is the only forecast with an average annual growth rate that exceeds the past trends over the last forty years. All of the other forecasts assume that the City will grow at a slower relative rate than in the past, varying from 2.07 to 4.29 percent. Based upon the amount vacant residential land within and surrounding the City, it is unlikely that Edgewater will experience an annual growth rate as low as 2.07 percent over the next 20 years, which renders the linear historic population trend forecast not feasible. Gross Residential Density The existing gross residential density within the City of Edgewater is approximately 7.66 persons per acre based on 2000 population estimates and the amount of existing developable residential land, 2,461.8 acres, within the City. Given historical public preference trends for lower-density suburban communities and assuming that the City will not plan for significantly higher residential densities in the future, this represents an upper threshold or ceiling for future population. Table P-2 indicates the projected gross residential density under each of the six forecast scenarios. All of the forecasts, ranging from 8.42 persons per square mile using the linear forecast to 23.48 persons per acre using the geometric jorecast, exceed the existing upper limit. These projections assume that the City's new residential development would need to be built at much higher gross residential densities than in the past. Clearly, these are unreasonable assumptions regarding future density. However, these assumptions do not account for any future annexation of residential lands and assumes that only 841.9 developable acres within the existing city boundaries will be converted into additional residential lands, based on the existing and future land use tables. TABLE P-3. EXISTING AND FUTURE RESIDENTIAL ACREAGE Type of Land Use Existing Developable Future Developable Land U se Acrea~e Land U se Acrea~e Agriculture 0 71.39 Rural Transition 9.69 50.24 Low Density Residential 1,995.81 2,464.14 Medium Density Residential 439.18 676.98 High Density Residential 15.76 40.98 Total Area within the City Building Permits As shown in Table PA, the number of residential building permits issued annually between 1991 and 2000 varied from 101 to 205 permits. December 2000 P - 10 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS TABLE P-4. CITY OF EDGEWATER BUILDING PERMITS Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 -1999 2000 SFR 135 94 104 87 119 82 69 78 112 187 161 Duplex 10 2 4 15 6 0 4 0 2 2 2 MF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MH 60 44 34 43 46 49 28 24 6 12 8 Total 205 140 142 145 171 131 101 102 120 201 171 PPH 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 Persons 480 328 332 339 400 307 236 239 281 470 400 Note: The year 2000 data is only through November. The total number of new residents that would be anticipated each year by each extrapolation is identified in Table P-2 as the average annual change. The average annual change varies from 448 for the linear historic population trend jorecast to 2,935 for the geometric historic population trend jorecast. The linear historic population trend jorecast is the closest to the historic building permit trends, but is a little low for 1999. SEASONAL POPULATION - ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS Seasonal population consists of housing units held for occupancy only during limited portions of the year, such as winter residents, and time-share condominiums. Anticipating this component of population is especially important for infrastructure planning. The US Census tabulates seasonal housing units under "vacant housing for seasonal, recreational, or occasional use". The Census indicates that there was an increase in seasonal units for the City of Edgewater between 1980 and 1990 from 198 to 345 total seasonal units. The seasonal units account for 5% of the City's total housing stock. Seasonal Housing by Type 1990 A high percentage of the mobile homes in the City continue to function as seasonal housing. Table P-5 indicates the seasonal housing units by housing type. As can be seen in the table, nearly 13.5% of the mobiles homes in the City are seasonal units. TABLE P-5. SEASONAL HOUSING UNITS BY TYPE OF UNIT Type of Housing Total Housing Units Seasonal, Recreational and Percent Mi2rant-Worker Units Single Family 5,550 269 4.8% (1 detached/attached unit) Multi-familv (3+ units) 671 34 5.1% Mobile Home 622 84 13.5% (mobile home or trailer) Other (other than previous) 45 0 0.0% December 2000 P - 11 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS Seasonal Population Estimates The seasonal population was estimated by utilizing Shimberg projections for the total dwelling units; assuming that the amount of seasonal housing has remained relatively constant since 1990; and applying a 2.34 person per household average. Seasonal population projections have been based on the resident population and, more direcdy, on the resident housing unit projections. TABLE P-6. SEASONAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS Seasonal Total DU % TotalDU PPH Vacancy Seasonal DU Rate Population 1990 345 6,888 5% 2.34 0.07 751 2000 416 8,321 5% 2.34 0.07 905 2005 ..475 9,506 5% 2.34 0.07 1,034 2010 535 10,693 5% 2.34 0.07 1,164 This is a modest number of seasonal residents, supporting the concept that Edgewater is a year-round, live-in community. The 2000 seasonal estimate of 905 may even be too high, due to the fact that the 2.34 household size figure was used. Generally, many seasonal residents are retired households having no children. Typically, these households range in size from 1.5 to 2.0 persons. No other seasonal population could reasonably be anticipated for Edgewater, since the City lacks a regional recreation facility such as a beach, park, amusement attraction center; or a significant number of hotel\motel rooms or boarding homes and transient apartment units. POPULATION BY AGE AND INCOME The City's population by age was projected to the year 2010 using the Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing's methodology. Table P-7 indicates that nearly 41 % of the 2000 population falls between the ages of 25 and 54 years of age, with over 14% of population in the 35 to 44 age group. The City should anticipate that by the year 2010 the bulk of this group will exceed 55 years in age. Therefore, facilities for this age group will become an issue in the future. Projections were also calculated for household income by tenure, as shown in Table P-8. Currendy, the majority of the City's owner-occupied housing falls within the middle to high-income range, at over 44%. The current renter occupied housing has more households that fall within the moderate- income range. Both trends for owner-occupied and renter occupied housing are anticipated to continue into the future at relatively the same percentages according to the Shimberg data results. For additional information about age and income please refer to the Housing Element. December 2000 P - 12 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS TABLE P-7. POPULATION PROJECTIONS BY AGE I I I i I 15 to 24 1,715 ! 14.0 1,871 I 13.7 2,259 I 14.3 2,797 I 15.4 3,206 i 15.6 ; I I I I ; I 25 to 34 2,400 I 19.6 2,398 i 17.5 2,693 17.1 2,837 I 15.6 3,179 ! 15.5 I I 2,541 I 2,901 I I ; 35 to 44 I 15.1 2,053 ! _ 16.8 18.6 18.4 3,052 I 16.8 3,097 I ; 45 to 54 1,3671 11.2 2,053 15.0 I 16.5 3,170 I 17.4 3,486 ! 17.0 2,594 I I I I ; 55 to 64 1,599 ! 13.1 1,764 I 12.9 2,182 I 13.8 3,019 i 16.6 3,891 ! 18.9 ; I ; i I I I I I 1,765 I 65 to 74 1,997 I 16.3 1,822 ! 13.3 11.2 1,944 I 10.7 2,419 I 11.8 ; ! 1,117 I I I i i 75 + 9.1 1,243 I 9.1 1,363 I 8.7 1,367 I 7.5 1,277 I 6.2 I Source: Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing, DCA, version 3.0, 3/29/98 (Dtab_vol/FAGE-SUM). Prepared by: Land Design Innovations, Inc. TABLE P-8. HOUSEHOLD INCOME BY TENURE Very Low Low 883 963 1,081 1,232 1,383 240 279 321 357 391 794 833 928 1,068 1,224 304 371 430 500 571 Moderate 1,126 1,211 1,358 1,548 1,755 341 423 496 553 602 Middle to High 2,045 2,290 2,652 3,040 3,423 320 411 473 532 588 Source: Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing, DCA, version 3.0, 3/29/98 (Dsum_ vol/ AGIN-SUM). December 2000 P -13 CITY OF EDGEW A TER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS RECOMMENDED POPULATION FORECAST The linear shift-share forecast most closely corresponds to expectations regarding future growth in Edgewater. It assumes that Edgewater's population will increase at a constant rate. relative to V olusia County's population and that the City's relative growth rate will diminish over time. This method projects that the City will add approximately 15,616 residents (an 82 percent increase) between 2000 and 2020, consistent with anticipated economic growth in the County and region. It assumes an average growth rate of approximately 3.23 percent per year, compared to a historic rate of 5.85 percent between 1960 and 2000. The linear shift-share 2020 population forecast allows for acceptable growth given the amount of already approved development and future land use density of vacant residential land in the City. The linear shift-share has a good CRY (0.85) evaluation statistic in comparison to the other forecasts. It also has a relatively good MAPE (10.06) evaluation statistic. It did not have the best evaluation statistics in comparison to the other forecasts, but it did not have statistics outside of a reasonable range either. Table P-9 shows the recommended 2020 population forecast for the City of Edgewater, along with forecasts for 2005, 2010 and 2015. Forecasts developed by the Shimberg Center for Affordable Housing are included for comparison purposes. It should be noted that the population extrapolation methods used in this report are optimized for 10 to 20 year horizons. As a result, forecasts within the one to 10 year timeframe are often inaccurate. One reason for this inaccuracy is the fact the most recent historic year included in the forecast calculation is 1995. Incorporating more recent historic data into the forecast (ie. 1996, 1997 and 1998) would better capture recent trends and provide more accurate short-term forecasts. Unfortunately, the extrapolation methods require that historic data be provided in five-year increments, rendering odd year data unusable. TABLE P-9. RECOMMENDED POPULATION FORECAST Year Recommended Shimberg Forecast Center Forecast 2005 22,865 23,037 2010 26,398 25,776 2015 30,262 N/A 2020 34,481 N/A To develop the recommended 2005 forecast identified in Table P-9, a straight line interpolation between the 2000 estimate and 2010 forecast was performed. Population projections for years more recent than 2005 should not be performed using extrapolation techniques. Rather, they should be developed with consideration given to pending and anticipated development activity. The population forecasts in this report were evaluated under the assumption that the amount and future land use density of vacant residential land would remain constant. The City has annexed a substantial amount of land from V olusia County into the City in the past. The City will likely continue to do so in the future to provide continuity and efficiency of services to residents of that December 2000 P -14 CITY OF EDGEWATER COMPREHENSIVE PLAN POPULATION PROJECTIONS part of the County. Future annexations would create additional population growth in the City beyond that identified in the recommended projection. In this respect, the recommended projection serves as a "baseline" estimate. However, it is important to note that increasing the supply of available land within the City will not necessarily increase the demand for residential development. The recommended forecast already accounts for a sufficient amount of demand for residential development in the City over the next 20 years. Increases in future land use densiry could substantially increase the population beyond the baseline projections. December 2000 P -15 s:: )> -0 en -l o ro m c en m o II o ;;0 (j) ~ ~ () -0 C ;;0 -0 o en m en o Z r :-< o 0 -I I I en ~ '"U I\) . m 0 ;:0 0 '"U en en 0 00 _0 C -I J: - o~ ~-n ~ ~ 0 ~ r Zo .....0 - ;:0 m 00 ~o 0 ~ m c: (j) ~-I -I '"U en c: ~ m -<:E ~:E ~ tii =i Z '"Um Om )> en CJ ;:or -IF tD or m-n r -I-n 0- m mm :::!p! ~ ~5 00 }it _ Z rrl o }it ..... Z ;:0 ^' )> ~ ~ ;:0 m m r )> r en ~ ~~z m -u c OJ r 0 () W 0 ~ 0 :< 0 ~ ~ 0 m -0 ...... ;;U = - ." I ~ "'l " 0 W ~ m 0 0 r q r ." C) m w rn r 0 ~ 0 0 0 (J) ." 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